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Communications Convergence In The Year Ahead
The New Year is when everyone looks back at the significant events of the
past year and tries to predict what will happen in the coming year. The
telecommunications industry is particularly concerned, as are their
enterprise customers, because of the disruptive technology and regulatory
changes that are taking place. Perhaps more importantly, it is a good time
to compare our visions of the converged communications future with the
progress of the past year, and adjust our expectations and plans for moving
forward towards ubiquitous multi-modal communications.
There will be many kinds of
communications-related convergences taking place within the enterprise,
including:
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IP network transport;
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Wired and wireless connectivity;
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Desktop and handheld multi-modal communication devices;
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Visual and speech user interfaces for both control and
content;
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Business/Information applications and personalized contacts;
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Unified “Communication Application” servers;
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Technology management and administration; and
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Enterprise systems and carrier services.
Although there is a thread
of interdependency between the above-mentioned convergences, the pace of
migrating various technologies, users and organizational responsibilities
will dictate how and when such convergences will all be realized. So, it is
practical to evaluate various key components of “converged communications”
separately, i.e., network infrastructures, application servers,
communication devices, user interfaces and personal contact/accessibility
controls.
DRIVERS OF NEW
COMMUNICATIONS ADOPTION
The fact that enterprise costs are reduced by converged infrastructures has
little to do with end user needs and preferences. What is driving such end
user demand and ultimately the enterprise’s responsibility for supporting
such needs are “always on” wireless communication mobility and the
flexibility of multi-modal and cross-modal communication interfaces. While
wireless device access to enterprise information and transactional
application services is also an important facet of end user mobility, i.e.,
remote and mobile work from laptops, the new value-add of communications
mobility will be driven mostly by handheld devices to support real-time
demands on person-to-person communications.
On the other hand, IP
infrastructure technology can cost-effectively facilitate the flexibility of
voice communications implementation and migration strategies for the
enterprise, including options for outsourcing telecommunications services,
self-service provisioning by end users and interoperability with legacy
voice technologies and services. IP infrastructure simplifies the
traditionally difficult and expensive implementation of proprietary computer
telephony integration (CTI), enabling more “intelligent” call processing in
IP Telephony.
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VoIP, SIP and Communications Applications
– The “Chicken and the Egg”
The telecommunications industry has clearly
accepted IP networking for its infrastructure future and is focused on
facilitating the graceful migration of existing enterprise
telecommunications technologies (PBXs, desktop phones, call center
applications, etc.) away from the limitations and costs of TDM-based voice
communications. “Greenfield” installations and selective replacements of old
phone systems picked up significantly in the past year. Enterprise
organizations, however, are not yet fully committing to VoIP and IP
telephony until they are also ready for the operational “communication
application” benefits that VoIP networking will enable for their various end
users. Device-oriented SIP-based presence, availability and converged
modality management is the next technology infrastructure step that leading
enterprise telecommunication providers like Avaya, Nortel and Siemens, as
well as wireless carriers will be pushing in 2004.
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UM, UC, and Wireless Mobility
“Unified Messaging” (UM) was a useful concept
that we espoused many years ago, but it never took off because consolidating
message retrieval and management for voice mail and e-mail was not enough of
an ROI incentive for costly replacements of existing voice mail systems.
Although we quickly recognized that UM was a mere subset of all forms of
personalized contacts and Unified Communications (UC) (which includes
real-time voice and messaging contacts), we also found in our market
research that enterprise organizations found UM/UC functionality to be
important primarily for their mobile users. Now that such devices have
become “multi-modal” and are being increasingly supported by enterprise
organizations, the visions of UM/UC will create more practical interest and
demand by mobile end users.
·
The Rise of Speech Interfaces
2004 will be the year that speech technologies
as a user interface for communication applications may come into more
practical use, primarily because of the growth of wireless mobility,
multi-modal devices and the maturity of speech recognition. Although speech
can be used for communication application content (e.g., calls, messages),
the use of speech for any application user interface control has already
become a hallmark of mobile, handheld devices. The way we see it, therefore,
“speech” deals with application user interfaces, while “voice” represents a
form of person-to-person communication contact. In 2004, we should see
further progress in combining speech commands with visual output to support
the multi-modal needs of handheld mobile communications.
Part 2
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