I admit it. I am a space junkie.
While most of the world was transfixed on the U.S. presidential court
battles, I was following the latest developments on the International
Space Station (ISS). The other weekend while I was at work finishing up a
project, I had the Real Video window on my monitor showing the live
coverage of the deployment of solar panels. As fascinating as the
space-walk was, it was perhaps equally fascinating that I was watching
this event -- taking place 250 miles above my head -- live on a four
square-inch window on my computer monitor.
Unfortunately, I wouldn't be able to do the same from home. For the
past two years I have been awaiting the arrival of broadband in my
suburban neighborhood. Living about 50 miles north of New York City, I
figured it wouldn't be long before my neighborhood was hooked up to
high-speed access. No such luck. My phone company tells me that DSL
service is due in about 3 months. Worse, my cable company is talking one
whole year before they can get me in the fast lane. And worse yet, I can
only get about 20 Kbps with my dialup connection (my punishment for living
in the woods). Try doing Internet telephony at that speed.
By some 1998 estimates, about half of U.S. households were supposed to
be broadband capable by the end of 2000. It is painfully obvious that we
are far below that estimate. In 1998 there were several promising new
technologies that were supposed to accelerate the time to widespread
broadband access: xDSL, cable, fiber, fixed wireless, and satellite.
Unfortunately, not all of these technologies have fully panned out quite
yet. Of them, only DSL and cable have made substantial inroads. Estimates
proclaim that by the end of 2000, four million cable modems and three
million DSL modems will have been installed across the U.S. Cable, while
it carries the stigma of bandwidth sharing, has outstripped DSL
installations, due partially to the fact that most homes are already wired
for cable, and they require little effort to receive data on the same
line. In the case of DSL, however, some rewiring or hardware changes may
be required. Moreover, the CO (central office) must be located within
18,000 feet of the service location for the broadband service to be at
acceptable levels. There are also some suggestions that the line quality
used in some suburban neighborhoods is not up to the task of handling DSL.
The jury is still out on which technology will win in the end. There
are indications that DSL service has picked up steam and may indeed
overtake cable within a year or two. But for many people who have chosen
to live in the suburbs, getting broadband service has simply been out of
the question. While city dwellers are enjoying their choice of DSL, cable,
and increasingly, fixed wireless, suburbia (at least in some parts) seems
to have been given a low priority for high-bandwidth installation.
At this stage of the game I have pretty much given up on wireline
technologies. Currently some wireless services support bandwidths as high
as 200 Kpbs with good penetration through buildings. Other wireless
technologies on the horizon boast of speeds of 1 Mbps and more.
Unfortunately, such services are still woefully restricted in terms of
their coverage area. Hopefully, by the time either DSL or cable makes it
to my doorstep, wireless ISPs would afford me choice as well. I have lots
of Internet telephony calls to make, and lots of space events to watch.
I just hope to get decent bandwidth before we colonize Mars.
Robert Vahid Hashemian provides us with a healthy dose of reality
every other month in his Reality Check column. Robert currently holds the
position of Director for TMCnet.com -- your online resource for CTI,
Internet telephony, and call center solutions. He can be reached at rhashemian@tmcnet.com.
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