France looking for 5G auction enabling licensees to invest in infrastructure
Sydney, May 26, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Just released, this edition of Paul Budde Communication’s focus report on France outlines the major developments and key aspects in the telecoms markets. Read the full report: https://www.budde.com.au/Research/France-Telecoms-Mobile-and-Broadband-Statistics-and-Analyses
Publication Overview
This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in France’s telecommunications market. The report analyses the fixed-line, mobile and broadband sectors. Subjects include:
Market and industry analyses, trends and developments; Facts, figures and statistics; Industry and regulatory issues; Infrastructure developments; Major Players, Revenues, Subscribers, ARPU, MoU; Mobile Voice and Data Markets; Broadband (FttP, DSL, cable, wireless); Mobile subscribers and ARPU; Broadband market forecasts; Government policies affecting the telecoms industry; Market liberalisation and industry issues; Telecoms operators – privatisation, IPOs, acquisitions, new licences; Mobile technologies (GSM; 3G, HSPA, LTE, 5G). Researcher:- Henry Lancaster Current publication date:- October 2019 (18th Edition)
Executive Summary
France looking for 5G auction enabling licensees to invest in infrastructure
France has the third largest telecoms market in Europe, worth about €31 billion annually. The incumbent telco Orange Group is one of the world’s major players with interests in markets across Europe, the Middle East and Africa. The company is embarked on a multi-year investment program with an emphasis on fibre-based broadband and mobile infrastructure based on 5G. Despite market liberalisation, orange still dominates all sectors though increasing competition from a number of major players (notably Altice, Bouygues Telecom and Iliad) has gradually eroded this lead.
The mobile phone market, worth about €13 billion annually, is dominated by Orange, SFR Group (owned by Altice Group), Bouygues Telecom and Free Mobile. Services based on LTE have near universal coverage, while operators have undertaken extensive 5G trials and are looking to launch commercial services in the second half of 2020. This timing is being supported by the auction of spectrum in a range of bands.
Competition among the MNOs and a large number of MVNOs caused mobile services revenue to fall steadily until 2017, since when growth has been low but steady. Pressure on revenue has encouraged operators to look to convergence and bundled services, and so expand their offerings beyond mobile voice and data.
France also has one of the largest broadband subscriber bases in Europe. Growth in recent years has been bolstered by demand for high bandwidth services, which has prompted considerable investment in fibre infrastructure among telcos and regional governments. DSL still dominates the broadband market in terms of access lines, though the number of DSL lines is falling as customers are migrated to fibre infrastructure. Fibre deployments have grown substantially in recent years, with all of the major ISPs concentrating their investments in the platform with a view to promoting 1Gb/s services. There efforts have been encouraged by the regulator which is keen to see effective competition in fibre access.
This report assesses the key aspects of France’s telecom market, providing updated statistics on the country’s fixed network, an analysis of operator strategies, and a review of the key regulatory issues including the status of number portability, wholesaling and carrier preselection. The report also covers the mobile voice and data segments, including spectrum licensing and regulatory issues and profiles of the major players and MVNOs. In addition, the report analyses the fixed and fixed-wireless broadband markets, focussing on cable, DSL and the fast-developing FttP/C sectors. It reviews the strategies of the principal providers such as Orange, Iliad and Altice (SFR Group), and considers the regulatory status of LLU and access to fibre infrastructure. Subscriber forecasts to 2024 are provided for several market areas.
Key developments:
Iliad sells its French tower portfolio to help fund 5G rollout; Orange stops promoting PSTN products; Regulator approves 5G trial licences in the 26GHz band; Altice increases footprint of its 1Gb/s FttP service; DSL subscriber base continues to fall; Success of fibre co-investment deals among operators Orange partners with Ericsson and Nokia to develop a path to 5G, launches national LTE-M service; Regulator to make 1.5GHz spectrum available for 5G by 2022; MVNO market share increases to 11.1% of subscribers; Report update includes the regulator's market data to June 2019, telcos' financial and operating data to Q2 2019, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, recent market developments. Companies mentioned in this report:
Orange, Iliad (Free, Free Mobile), Altice (SFR Group, Numéricable), Bouygues Telecom, Virgin Mobile, Omea Telecom
Key statistics COVID-19 and its impact on the telecom sector Economic considerations and responses Mobile devices Subscribers Infrastructure Telecommunications market Market analysis Regional European Market Comparison Europe Telecom Maturity Index by tier TMI versus GDP Mobile and mobile broadband penetration Fixed versus mobile broadband penetration Regulatory environment History National legal framework France NumErique 2012 Regulatory authority Communications and Postal Regulatory Authority (ARCEP) Telecom sector liberalisation Privatisation of Orange Group Interconnect Access Number Portability (NP) Carrier PreSelection (CPS) Fixed network operators Orange Group Altice France Free (Iliad) Bouygues Telecom Telecommunications infrastructure National telecom network International infrastructure Submarine cable networks Satellite networks Cloud services Smart infrastructure Internet of Things (IoT) Smart Cities Broadband market Introduction and statistical overview Market analysis Broadband statistics Regulatory issues Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks Introduction Statistics Orange Iliad (Free) SFR Group Bouygues Telecom SNCF Municipal projects Fibre network sharing Other fixed broadband services Broadband Powerline (BPL) Fixed wireless (Wi-Fi and WiMAX) Mobile communications Market analysis Mobile statistics Mobile infrastructure Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Mobile voice Mobile data Short Message Service (SMS) Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS) Mobile broadband Regulatory issues Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions Network sharing Mobile termination rates (MTRs) Roaming Mobile Number Portability (MNP) Major mobile operators Orange Altice France Free Mobile Bouygues Telecom MVNOs Mobile content and applications Appendix – Historic data Glossary of abbreviations Related reports List of Tables
Table 1 – Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - France – 2019 (e) Table 2 – Development in telecom service investment – 2009 – 2018 Table 3 – Change in end-user traffic volume in minutes by sector – 2009 – 2019 Table 4 – Percentage change in end-user traffic by sector – 2009 – 2019 Table 5 – Decline in telecom market revenue, by sector – 2008 – 2019 Table 6 – Development of end-user fixed-line market revenue (telephony, broadband) – 2009 – 2019 Table7 – Change in the proportion of telecom revenue by sector – 2009 – 2019 Table 8 – Percentage change in end-user telecom market revenue – 2009 – 2019 Table 9 – End-user monthly bill by service – 2010 – 2019 Table 10 – Change in the number of fixed lines subscriptions by type – 2009 – 2019 Table 11 – Change in the number of unbundled and bitstream lines – 2009 – 2019 Table 12 – Decline in the number of Orange’s wholesale broadband lines – 2006 – 2019 Table 13 – Development of annual fixed number porting – 2005 – 2019 Table 14 – Change in the number of Orange’s customers by sector (France) – 2006 – 2019 Table 15 – Drop in the number of Orange’s retail voice lines – 2007 – 2019 Table 16 – Development of Orange Group’s financial data by sector – 2008 – 2019 Table 17 – Decline in Orange’s domestic revenue – 2007 – 2019 Table 18 – Change in Orange’s domestic telecom capex – 2008 – 2019 Table 19 – Change in the number of Orange’s retail and wholesale lines – 2006 – 2019 Table 20 – Growth in the number of SFR Group’s subscribers by type – 2009 – 2019 Table 21 – SFR Group financial data – 2009 – 2019 Table 22 – Change in SFR Group’s revenue by type – 2017 – 2019 Table 23 – SFR Group telecom capex – 2008 – 2019 Table 24 – Increase in Free’s revenue by segment – 2009 – 2019 Table 25 – Increase in the number of Free’s subscribers by sector – 2009 – 2019 Table 26 – Change in the number of Bouygues Telecom’s subscribers by sector – 2009 – 2019 Table 27 – Development of Bouygues Telecom’s financial data – 2009 – 2019 Table 28 – Change in the number of fixed-lines in service, and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Table 29 – Change in the proportion of fixed lines by technology – 2009 – 2019 Table 30 – Development of international internet bandwidth – 2009 – 2016 Table 31 – Change in the number of broadband subscribers by platform – 2009 – 2019 Table 32 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration – 2010 – 2025 Table 33 – Growth in the number of broadband connections by data rate – 2011 – 2019 Table 34 – Increase in the number of superfast broadband connections (>100Mb/s) by platform – 2011 – 2019 Table 35 – Change in broadband penetration by technology – 2007 – 2019 Table 36 – Change in the number of superfast cable broadband subscriptions – 2011 – 2019 Table 37 – Decline in the number of DSL subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 38 – Drop in the number of Orange’s DSL subscriptions – 2010 – 2020 Table 39 – Development of Free’s broadband revenue – 2010 – 2020 Table 40 – Growth in the number of Free’s broadband subscriber base – 2010 – 2020 Table 41 – Development of Free’s broadband subscriber ARPU – 2013 – 2020 Table 42 – Increase in the number of FttP equipped and passed buildings – 2008 – 2019 Table 43 – Increase in the number of FttP subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 44 – Increase in the number of Orange’s fibre subscribers and connected premises– 2010 – 2020 Table 45 – Increase in the number of Free’s fibre subscribers – 2015 – 2020 Table 46 – Growth in the number of SFR’s broadband subscriber base, by type – 2013 – 2019 Table 47 – Increase in the number of SFR broadband homes passed – 2009 – 2019 Table 48 – Increase in the number of Bouygues Telecom’s broadband and fibre subscribers – 2010 – 2020 Table 49 – FttP subscriptions via shared networks – 2015 – 2019 Table 50 – Developments in mobile retail revenue and network investment – 2009 – 2019 Table 51 – Development of investment in 3G and LTE infrastructure – 2013 – 2018 Table 52 – Decline in average monthly bill, ARPU - 2006 – 2019 Table 53 – Increase in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2019 – 2024 Table 54 – Increase in the number of active mobile subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 55 – Change in mobile market share of subscribers by MNO – 2016 – 2019 Table 56 – Change in the number of prepaid and contract subscribers (national, excl. M2M) – 2011 – 2019 Table 57 – Change in the proportion of prepaid versus contract subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 58 – Change in the number of active 3G and LTE subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Table 59 – Increase in the number of Free Mobile’s LTE subscribers – 2014 – 2019 Table 60 – Free Mobile average LTE data use – 2015 – 2019 Table 61 – 3G base stations in service by operator – October 2019 Table 62 – 2G base stations in service by operator – October 2019 Table 63 – Increase in the number of M2M cards in use – 2011 – 2019 Table 64 – Development of revenue from M2M cards – 2009 – 2019 Table 65 – Growth in mobile voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 66 – Growth in mobile voice traffic in minutes by type (quarterly) – 2006 – 2019 Table 67 – Growth in annual mobile voice traffic by type – 2008 – 2019 Table 68 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2008 – 2019 Table 69 – Growth in average mobile data traffic per LTE subscriber – 2011 – 2019 Table 70 – Increase in average mobile data traffic per mobile subscriber – 2011 – 2019 Table 71 – Change in SMS traffic volume (national) – 2004 – 2019 Table 72 – Decline in annual SMS traffic – 2003 – 2019 Table 73 – Growth in annual MMS traffic – 2003 – 2019 Table 74 – Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Table 75 – Change in the number of dedicated mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Table 76 – 2.6GHz spectrum results – Sep 2011 Table 77 – Growth in mobile roaming out voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 78 – Change in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2009 – 2019 Table 79 – Change in the number of Orange’s mobile subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 80 – Decline in Orange’s ARPU and ARPO – 2009 – 2019 Table 81 – Change in Orange’s mobile-only revenue (new style) – 2016 – 2019 Table 82 – Change in Orange’s mobile customer churn – 2009 – 2019 Table 83 – Change in SFR’s mobile revenue (under Altice) – 2015 – 2019 Table 84 – Development of SFR’s subscriber base by type – 2006 – 2019 Table 85 – Growth in Free Mobile’s mobile subscriber base – 2012 – 2019 Table 86 – Growth in Free Mobile’s mobile revenue – 2012 – 2019 Table 87 – Growth in Bouygues Telecom’s mobile subscriber base – 2005 – 2019 Table 88 – Decline in Bouygues Telecom’s mobile ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Table 89 – Development of Bouygues Telecom’s financial data by type – 2005 – 2019 Table 90 – Orange MVNO subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 91 – Increase in the number of MNO and MVNO subscribers (metropolitan) – 2005 – 2019 Table 92 – Change in MVNO market share of subscribers (metropolitan) – 2005 – 2019 Table 93 – Historic - Telecom service investment – 2002 – 2009 Table 94 – Historic - End-user fixed-line market value – 2003 – 2009 Table 95 – Historic - Proportion of fixed lines by technology – 2004 – 2009 Table 96 – Historic - International internet bandwidth – 2000 – 2009 Table 97 – Historic - End-user traffic volume in minutes by sector – 2002 – 2099 Table 98 – Historic - End-user traffic growth by sector – 2002 – 2009 Table 99 – Historic – Change in end-user telecom market revenue – 2004 – 2009 Table 100 – Historic - Fixed lines subscriptions by type – 2003 – 2009 Table 101 – Historic - Unbundled and bitstream lines – 2002 – 2099 Table 102 – Historic - Indirect fixed line connections – 2006 – 2016 Table 103 – Historic - Dial-up internet subscribers – 2005 – 2015 Table 104 – Historic - Internet users and penetration rate – 1995 – 2015 Table 105 – Historic - Dial-up internet traffic – 2004 – 2014 Table 106 – Historic - Cable broadband subscribers – 2000 – 2017 Table 107 – Historic - DSL subscribers – 2000 – 2009 Table 108 – Historic - Broadband subscribers by platform – 2000 – 2009 Table 109 – Historic - Proportion of premises covered by superfast broadband networks – 2012 – 2017 Table 110 – Historic - Orange DSL subscriptions – 2005 – 2009 Table 111 – Historic - Free broadband revenue – 2006 – 2009 Table 112 – Historic - Free broadband subscribers – 2005 – 2009 Table 113 – Historic - Orange fibre subscribers and connected premises– 2006 – 2009 Table 114 – Data market revenue by type (historic) – 2002 – 2012 Table 115 – Historic - Mobile retail revenue – 1998 – 2009 Table 116 – Historic - Mobile subscribers (national, old format incl. M2M) and penetration rate – 1999 – 2014 Table 117 – Historic - Annual mobile numbers ported – 2004 – 2009 Table 118 – Prepaid and contract subscribers (old format national, incl. M2M) – 2005 – 2014 Table 119 – Growth in Mobile voice traffic – 1998 – 2019 Table 120 – Historic - Mobile market share of subscribers by operator – 2005 – 2015 Table 121 – Historic - Proportion of prepaid versus contract subscribers – 1999 – 2009 Table 122 – Historic - Mobile interconnection revenue – 2003 – 2017 Table 123 – Historic - Mobile roaming out voice traffic – 2003 – 2009 Table 124 – Historic - Orange mobile revenue by type – 2011 – 2017
List of Charts Chart 1 – Development in telecom service investment – 2009 – 2018 Chart 2 – Change in end-user traffic volume in minutes by sector – 2009 – 2019 Chart 3 – Percentage change in end-user traffic by sector – 2009 – 2019 Chart 4 – Decline in telecom market revenue, by sector – 2008 – 2019 Chart 5 – Development of end-user fixed-line market revenue (telephony, broadband) – 2009 – 2019 Chart 6 – Change in the proportion of telecom revenue by sector – 2009 – 2019 Chart 7 – Change in the number of fixed lines subscriptions by type – 2009 – 2019 Chart 8 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Leaders (top tier) Chart 9 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Challengers (middle tier) Chart 10 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Emergents (bottom tier) Chart 11 – Overall view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita Chart 12 – Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 13 – Scandinavia and Baltics: mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 14 – Northern Europe –mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 15 – Southern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 16 – Eastern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 17 – Scandinavia and Baltics fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 18 – Northern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 19 – Southern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 20 – Eastern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 21 – Change in the number of unbundled and bitstream lines – 2009 – 2019 Chart 22 – Decline in the number of Orange’s wholesale broadband lines – 2006 – 2019 Chart 23 – Development of annual fixed number porting – 2005 – 2019 Chart 24 – Change in the number of Orange’s customers by sector (France) – 2006 – 2019 Chart 25 – Drop in the number of Orange’s retail voice lines – 2007 – 2019 Chart 26 – Development of Orange Group’s financial data by sector – 2008 – 2019 Chart 27 – Decline in Orange’s domestic revenue – 2007 – 2019 Chart 28 – Change in the number of Orange’s retail and wholesale lines – 2006 – 2019 Chart 29 – Growth in the number of SFR Group’s subscribers by type – 2009 – 2019 Chart 30 – SFR Group financial data – 2009 – 2019 Chart 31 – Change in SFR Group’s revenue by type – 2017 – 2019 Chart 32 – Increase in Free’s revenue by segment – 2009 – 2019 Chart 33 – Increase in the number of Free’s subscribers by sector – 2009 – 2019 Chart 34 – Change in the number of Bouygues Telecom’s subscribers by sector – 2009 – 2019 Chart 35 – Development of Bouygues Telecom’s financial data – 2009 – 2019 Chart 36 – Change in the number of fixed-lines in service, and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Chart 37 – Change in the proportion of fixed lines by technology – 2009 – 2019 Chart 38 – Development of international internet bandwidth – 2009 – 2016 Chart 39 – Change in the number of broadband subscribers by platform – 2009 – 2019 Chart 40 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration – 2010 – 2025 Chart 41 – Growth in the number of broadband connections by data rate – 2011 – 2019 Chart 42 – Increase in the number of superfast broadband connections (>100Mb/s) by platform – 2011 – 2019 Chart 43 – Change in broadband penetration by technology – 2007 – 2019 Chart 44 – Change in the number of superfast cable broadband subscriptions – 2011 – 2019 Chart 45 – Decline in the number of DSL subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 46 – Drop in the number of Orange’s DSL subscriptions – 2005 – 2020 Chart 47 – Development of Free’s broadband revenue – 2010 – 2020 Chart 48 – Growth in the number of Free’s broadband subscriber base – 2010 – 2020 Chart 49 – Development of Free’s broadband subscriber ARPU – 2013 – 2020 Chart 50 – Increase in the number of FttP equipped and passed buildings – 2008 – 2019 Chart 51 – Increase in the number of FttP subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 52 – Increase in the number of Orange’s fibre subscribers and connected premises– 2010 – 2020 Chart 53 – Increase in the number of Free’s fibre subscribers – 2015 – 2020 Chart 54 – Growth in the number of SFR’s broadband subscriber base, by type – 2013 – 2019 Chart 55 – Increase in the number of SFR broadband homes passed – 2009 – 2019 Chart 56 – Increase in the number of Bouygues Telecom’s broadband and fibre subscribers – 2010 – 2020 Chart 57 – Developments in mobile retail revenue and network investment – 2009 – 2019 Chart 58 – Development of investment in 3G and LTE infrastructure – 2013 – 2018 Chart 59 – Decline in average monthly bill, ARPU - 2006 – 2019 Chart 60 – Increase in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate – 2019 – 2024 Chart 61 – Change in mobile market share of subscribers by MNO – 2016 – 2019 Chart 62 – Change in the number of prepaid and contract subscribers (national, excl. M2M) – 2011 – 2019 Chart 63 – Change in the proportion of prepaid versus contract subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 64 – Change in the number of active 3G and LTE subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Chart 65 – Increase in the number of Free Mobile’s LTE subscribers – 2014 – 2019 Chart 66 – Increase in the number of M2M cards in use – 2011 – 2019 Chart 67 – Development of revenue from M2M cards – 2009 – 2019 Chart 68 – Growth in mobile voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 69 – Growth in annual mobile voice traffic by type – 2008 – 2019 Chart 70 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2008 – 2019 Chart 71 – Growth in average mobile data traffic per LTE subscriber – 2011 – 2019 Chart 72 – Increase in average mobile data traffic per mobile subscriber – 2011 – 2019 Chart 73 – Change in SMS traffic volume (national) – 2004 – 2019 Chart 74 – Decline in annual SMS traffic – 2003 – 2019 Chart 75 – Growth in annual MMS traffic – 2003 – 2019 Chart 76 – Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Chart 77 – Change in the number of dedicated mobile broadband subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Chart 78 – Growth in mobile roaming out voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 79 – Change in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2009 – 2019 Chart 80 – Change in the number of Orange’s mobile subscribers (France) – 2009 – 2019 Chart 81 – Decline in Orange’s ARPU and ARPO – 2009 – 2019 Chart 82 – Change in Orange’s mobile-only revenue (new style) – 2016 – 2019 Chart 83 – Change in Orange’s mobile customer churn – 2009 – 2019 Chart 84 – Change in SFR’s mobile revenue (under Altice) – 2015 – 2019 Chart 85 – Development of SFR’s subscriber base by type – 2006 – 2019 Chart 86 – Growth in Free Mobile’s mobile subscriber base – 2012 – 2019 Chart 87 – Growth in Free Mobile’s mobile revenue – 2012 – 2019 Chart 88 – Growth in Bouygues Telecom’s mobile subscriber base – 2005 – 2019 Chart 89 – Decline in Bouygues Telecom’s mobile ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Chart 90 – Development of Bouygues Telecom’s financial data by type – 2005 – 2019 Chart 91 – Increase in the number of MNO and MVNO subscribers (metropolitan) – 2005 – 2019 Chart 92 – Change in MVNO market share of subscribers (metropolitan) – 2005 – 2019 List of Exhibits
Exhibit 1 – Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment Exhibit 2 – Access and the local loop Exhibit 3 – 2Africa submarine cable Exhibit 4 – 2Africa landing stations Exhibit 5 – Principal FttP and FttC (FttLA) deployments Exhibit 6 – 3G licensees Exhibit 7 – Reassigned multi-spectrum holdings (900MHz) – 2021 – 2025 Exhibit 8 – Operating MVNOs and network provider
Read the full report: https://www.budde.com.au/Research/France-Telecoms-Mobile-and-Broadband-Statistics-and-Analyses
Nicolas Bombourg
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