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Allianz Risk Barometer: A Cyber Event Is the Top Global Business Risk for 2024Cyber incidents such as ransomware attacks, data breaches, and IT disruptions are the biggest worry for companies globally in 2024, according to the Allianz Risk Barometer. The closely interlinked peril of Business interruption ranks second. Natural catastrophes (up from #6 to #3 year-on-year), Fire, explosion (up from #9 to #6), and Political risks and violence (up from #10 to #8) are the biggest risers in the latest compilation of the top global business risks, based on the insights of more than 3,000 risk management professionals. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240116375142/en/ In the United States, Cyber has replaced Business interruption as the leading risk for the year ahead. Natural catastrophes rose to the third spot (up from #5 in 2023). For Canadian companies, Business interruption jumped to the top spot (up from #4 in 2023) followed by Cyber incidents and natural catastrophes. Allianz Commercial CEO Petros Papanikolaou comments on the findings: "The top risks and major risers in this year's Allianz Risk Barometer reflect the big issues facing companies around the world right now - digitalization, climate change and an uncertain geopolitical environment. Many of these risks are already hitting home, with extreme weather, ransomware attacks and regional conflicts expected to test the resilience of supply chains and business models further in 2024. Brokers and customers of insurance companies should be aware and adjust their insurance covers accordingly." Large corporates, mid-size, and smaller businesses are united by the same risk concerns - they are all mostly worried about cyber, business interruption and natural catastrophes. However, the resilience gap between large and smaller companies is widening, as risk awareness among larger organizations has grown since the pandemic with a notable drive to upgrade resilience, the report notes. Conversely, smaller businesses often lack the time and resources to identify and effectively prepare for a wider range of risk scenarios and, as a result, take longer to get the business back up and running after an unexpected incident.
Trends driving cyber activity in 2024
"Cyber criminals are exploring ways to use new technologies such as generative artificial intelligence (AI) to automate and accelerate attacks, creating more effective malware and phishing. The growing number of incidents caused by poor cyber security, in mobile devices in particular, a shortage of millions of cyber security professionals, and the threat facing smaller companies because of their reliance on IT outsourcing are also expected to drive cyber activity in 2024," explains Scott Sayce, Global Head of Cyber, Allianz Commercial.
Business interruption and natural catastrophes
Natural catastrophes (26%) is one of the biggest movers at #3, up three positions. 2023 was a record-breaking year on several fronts. It was the hottest year since records began, while insured losses exceeded US$100bn for the fourth consecutive year, driven by the highest ever damage bill of US$60bn from severe thunderstorms.
Regional differences and risk risers and fallers
Unsurprisingly, given ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, and tensions between China and the US, Political risks and violence (14%) is up to #8 from #10.
"But this lackluster growth is a necessary evil: high inflation rates will finally be a thing of the past," says Ludovic Subran, Chief Economist at Allianz. "This will give central banks some room to maneuver - lower interest rates are likely in the second half of the year. Not a second too late, as stimulus cannot be expected from fiscal policy. A caveat is the considerable number of elections in 2024 and the risk of further upheavals depending on certain outcomes." In a global context, the shortage of skilled workforce (12%) is seen as a lower risk than in 2023, dropping from #8 to #10. However, businesses in Central and Eastern Europe, the UK and Australia identify it as a top five business risk. Given there is still record low unemployment in many countries around the globe, companies are looking to fill more jobs than there are people available to fill them. IT or data experts are seen as the most challenging to find, making this issue a critical aspect in the fight against cyber-crime. View the Allianz Risk Barometer methodology and full global and country risk rankings
About the Allianz Risk Barometer
About Allianz Commercial
These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below. Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240116375142/en/ |