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Global Road Transportation Energy Consumption is Likely to Rise Slightly with Greater Penetration of Automated Vehicles, According to Navigant Research
[February 07, 2017]

Global Road Transportation Energy Consumption is Likely to Rise Slightly with Greater Penetration of Automated Vehicles, According to Navigant Research


A new report from Navigant Research highlights how emerging automated mobility systems are expected to affect regional transportation fuel consumption during the next two decades, with global forecasts for light duty vehicle (LDV) and medium and heavy duty vehicle (MHDV) consumption, segmented by region, fuel, and scenario, through 2035.

Developments in vehicle electrification, connectivity, and shared and automated driving are creating potential for innovative new business models in transportation services. However, the effects of these automated systems on fuel consumption will vary by region, with some experiencing greater use of passenger travel through LDVs, running counter to policies that displace oil as the leading transportation energy resource. Click to tweet: According to a new report from @NavigantRSRCH, total global road transportation energy consumption is likely to rise slightly with greater penetration of automated vehicles.

"In certain markets, automated driving systems promise to pull demand away from energy efficient public transit options to less efficient passenger car travel," says Scott Shepard, senior research analyst with Navigant Research. "The result is likely increased transportation sector energy consumption unless concerted efforts are made to tie vehicle automation to electrification."

In markets with a high dependence on LDVs for personal travel, however, automated mobility systems are expected to reduce energy consumption. According to the report, vehicle efficiencies borne from automated technologie are expected to mitigate system inefficiencies created from displacing public transit systems.



The report, Market Data: Global Fuels Consumption, provides an update to Navigant Research's Global Fuels Consumption model, with a focus on how emerging AMSs may affect regional fuels markets. The study assesses the potential impacts to the fuels markets through four scenarios of AMS (News - Alert) penetration (no adoption, low, mid, and high). Global forecasts for road fuel consumption for LDVs and medium and heavy duty vehicles (MHDVs), segmented by region, fuel, and scenario, extend through 2035. Although this report focuses on the effects of automated technologies on passenger vehicle energy consumption, forecasts also include the fuel consumption of goods vehicles. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

About Navigant Research


Navigant Research, the dedicated research arm of Navigant, provides market research and benchmarking services for rapidly changing and often highly regulated industries. In the energy sector, Navigant Research focuses on in-depth analysis and reporting about global clean technology markets. The team's research methodology combines supply-side industry analysis, end-user primary research and demand assessment, and deep examination of technology trends to provide a comprehensive view of the Energy Technologies, Utility Transformations, Transportation Efficiencies, and Buildings Innovations sectors. Additional information about Navigant Research can be found at www.navigantresearch.com.

About Navigant

Navigant Consulting, Inc. is a specialized, global professional services firm that helps clients take control of their future. Navigant's professionals apply deep industry knowledge, substantive technical expertise, and an enterprising approach to help clients build, manage and/or protect their business interests. With a focus on markets and clients facing transformational change and significant regulatory or legal pressures, the Firm primarily serves clients in the healthcare, energy and financial services industries. Across a range of advisory, consulting, outsourcing, and technology/analytics services, Navigant's practitioners bring sharp insight that pinpoints opportunities and delivers powerful results. More information about Navigant can be found at navigant.com.

* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, Market Data: Global Fuels Consumption, is a summary and reflects Navigant Research's current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report's conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.


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