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Holiday Cheer or Holiday Horror? Radial Releases its Annual Holiday Fraud Index Showing Retailers Risk Coordinated and Sustained Fraud Losses
[November 18, 2016]

Holiday Cheer or Holiday Horror? Radial Releases its Annual Holiday Fraud Index Showing Retailers Risk Coordinated and Sustained Fraud Losses


Radial, the leading omnichannel commerce technology and operations provider, today released its Annual Holiday Fraud Index to inform the retail world about the pervasive and escalating growth in fraud. Developed by Radial's data scientists in their Fraud Technology Lab, the 2016 Holiday Fraud Index uses data from hundreds of clients and billions of data elements to uncover EMV, cross-border, and digital gift card trends that could put retailers' bottom lines at risk.

"With more than 10 years in fraud management and billions of transactional records to pull from, Radial is in a unique position to leverage our expertise and data to identify high-risk factors for retailers," said Stefan Weitz, Chief Product and Strategy Officer at Radial. "We're heading into our second holiday season with more retailers EMV ready, which means CNP fraud becomes a lot more attractive to organized and tech savvy criminals. Combine that with the increased prevalence of data breaches and retailers are faced with the daunting challenge of approving as many orders as possible, while minimizing fraud. Bottom line for most retailers if you are managing fraud yourself, the Grinch will be stealing your holiday."

As eCommerce continues to grow, so will the opportunities for fraudsters to frustrate, steal and destroy. With more than two billion records already stolen in 2016, hacks, leaks and data breaches show no sign of slowing down. Radial's Annual Holiday Fraud Index details six valuable key findings retailers should be aware of this season and beyond:

1. CNP fraud garners the largest share of fraudulent activity with fraud attack rates increasing in nearly every market segment.

  • Since EMV's launch, Radial has seen on average a 30% increase in online fraud attacks across its client base with the steepest increase occurring in the Electronics, Entertainment and Jewelry market segments. Home and Sporting Goods are impacted the least, though still a target.

b>2. Some cross-border countries represent greater risk, while others offer higher sales potential.



  • eCommerce attack rates provide insight into geographies that pose the greatest and least risk, along with the potential for higher sales. Venezuela has the highest cross-border eCommerce attack rate at 17.04%, while the U.S. Virgin Islands has one of the lowest at 0.06%, as well as the highest order approval rate at 99.77%.

    Additionally, China, Japan, and Korea account for nearly 50% of cross-border eCommerce sales in the Cosmetics and Home market segments. Korea and China account for more than 78% of sales among the top five cross-border countries during the holiday season.

3. Cross-border attack rates drop significantly on Cyber Monday.


  • Data shows that retailers can be approving up to 98.59% of cross-border eCommerce orders on Cyber Monday (News - Alert) - a sales figure that surpassed $3.8 million for Radial clients last year. That's not the only good news. Cross-border fraud attack rates dropped over 33% on Cyber Monday compared to the rest of the holiday season giving retailers an opportunity to tap into cross-border sales on one of the season's busiest days.

    Despite this rosy picture, Radial, through its work with some of the world's favorite brands, is finding that many retailers are still diagnosing too much cross-border fraud, and losing out on millions as a result.

4. Digital gift card fraud spikes after December 25.

  • Digital gift card fraud attacks are 10X more likely during the holidays compared to other delivery methods. That jumps to almost 25X more likely the week after Christmas. Even fraudsters take a break on Christmas Day, when attack rates hit an all-time seasonal low.

5. Digital gift card attack rates soar for some billing and shipping domains and payment tenders during the holidays.

  • Outlook.com and Discover can be red flags for fraudulent gift card orders with attack rates hovering around 200% higher than their nearest competitor.

6. IP locations and credit card bank identification number (BIN) carry different risk factors for digital gift card purchases.

  • Credit card BIN and IP country matter when accessing risk. Colombia's BIN and IP address shows an attack rate of more than 20% for digital gift card purchases. When Mexico is the BIN country, digital gift card attack rates exceed 27%.

For an in-depth analysis of holiday fraud risks, download Radial's "Annual Holiday Fraud Index" and Infographic.

About Radial

Radial is the leader in omnichannel commerce technology and operations, enabling brands and retailers to profitably exceed retail customer expectations. Radial's technical, powerful omnichannel solutions connect supply and demand through efficient fulfillment and transportation options, intelligent fraud detection, payments, and tax systems, and personalized customer care services.

Hundreds of retailers and brands confidently partner with Radial to simplify their post-click commerce and improve their customer experiences. Radial brings flexibility and scalability to their supply chains and optimizes how, when and where orders go from desire to delivery. Learn how we work with you at www.radial.com.


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