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Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation, According to Navigant Research
[April 21, 2016]

Connectivity, Autonomous Technology, On-Demand Mobility, and Vehicle Electrification Will Transform Global Passenger Transportation, According to Navigant Research


A new white paper from Navigant Research examines the long-term evolution of individual transportation based on an assessment of four key trends-vehicle connectivity, vehicle autonomy, on-demand mobility, and vehicle electrification-from 2025 to 2050.

Current developments in automotive technology preview a future where vehicles are capable of doing the driving and electric drive technology is efficient and affordable. At the same time, governments are increasingly pushing for reductions in emissions, the long-term trend of people moving to live in urban areas is forcing cities to regulate private car usage, and 24/7 connectivity is becoming more prevalent, ultimately signaling a shift in the transportation industry. Click to tweet: According to a new white paper from @NavigantRSRCH, the intersection of vehicle connectivity, autonomous technology, on-demand mobility, and vehicle electrification will transform global passenger transportation.

"By mid-century, the practice of someone primarily driving himself or herself around town in a gasoline car will be as unusual as traveling by horse and buggy is today," says John Gartner (News - Alert), senior research director with Navigant Research. "Instead, the combination and intersection of autonomous, shared, connected, and electric vehicle technologies will contribute to the gradual reduction of the number of cars on the road beginning in the 2030s that is already prompting automakers to expand to a variety of new mobility as a service business models."

By 2050, the only element of personal mobility common to the turn of this century might be the act of moving around in self-contained vehicles on wheels,according to the report. The development of carsharing and ride-hailing services is at the core of a trend toward on-demand mobility that veers away from individual vehicle ownership, which is expected to gradually decline in popularity as mobility services expand.



This report, Transportation Outlook: 2025 to 2050, takes a high-level look at the long-term evolution of individual transportation based on an assessment of four key trends-vehicle connectivity, vehicle autonomy, on-demand mobility, and vehicle electrification-and factors such as the progress of urbanization. Because the timeframe of 2025-2050 is so far in the future, it is not practical to offer global market forecasts for annual sales of specific technologies. Rather, the paper considers how the transformation of individual mobility will affect the overall vehicle market, as well as vehicle manufacturers and other key stakeholders involved in automotive industry technology development. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

About Navigant Research


Navigant Research, the dedicated research arm of Navigant, provides market research and benchmarking services for rapidly changing and often highly regulated industries. In the energy sector, Navigant Research focuses on in-depth analysis and reporting about global clean technology markets. The team's research methodology combines supply-side industry analysis, end-user primary research and demand assessment, and deep examination of technology trends to provide a comprehensive view of the Energy Technologies, Utility Transformations, Transportation Efficiencies, and Buildings Innovations sectors. Additional information about Navigant Research can be found at www.navigantresearch.com.

About Navigant

Navigant Consulting, Inc. is a specialized, global professional services firm that helps clients take control of their future. Navigant's professionals apply deep industry knowledge, substantive technical expertise, and an enterprising approach to help clients build, manage and/or protect their business interests. With a focus on markets and clients facing transformational change and significant regulatory or legal pressures, the Firm primarily serves clients in the healthcare, energy and financial services industries. Across a range of advisory, consulting, outsourcing, and technology/analytics services, Navigant's practitioners bring sharp insight that pinpoints opportunities and delivers powerful results. More information about Navigant can be found at navigant.com.

* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, Transportation Outlook: 2025 to 2050, is a summary and reflects Navigant Research's current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report's conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.


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