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April Manufacturing ISM Report Updates on Manufacturing SectorMay 06, 2013 (Close-Up Media via COMTEX) -- Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in April for the fifth consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 47th consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business. According to a release, the report was issued by Bradley J. Holcomb, CPSM, CPSD, chair of the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The PMI registered 50.7 percent, a decrease of 0.6 percentage point from March's reading of 51.3 percent, indicating expansion in manufacturing for the fifth consecutive month, but at the lowest rate of the year. The New Orders Index increased in April by 0.9 percentage point to 52.3 percent, and the Production Index increased by 1.3 percentage points to 53.5 percent. The Employment Index registered 50.2 percent, a decrease of 4 percentage points compared to March's reading of 54.2 percent. The Prices Index registered 50 percent, decreasing 4.5 percentage points from March, indicating that overall raw materials prices remained unchanged from last month. Comments from the panel indicate a range of strong/steady growth, to flat/declining volumes, depending upon the particular industry." Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 14 are reporting growth in April in the following order: Furniture & Related Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Paper Products; Machinery; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Primary Metals; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Petroleum & Coal Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Transportation Equipment; and Computer & Electronic Products. The three industries reporting contraction in April are: Wood Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Chemical Products. WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING; -"Business can be described as flat at best." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products) -"Production is still strong; several new projects to support alternative energy." (Primary Metals) -"Slight uptick in business, but overall continuing slowdown in defense due to budget/sequester." (Computer & Electronic Products) -"We have concerns about safety of doing business in South Korea. Our largest customer and part owner is in South Korea." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components) -"Automotive demand remains firm." (Fabricated Metal Products) -"Business continues at a steady pace." (Machinery) -"General business conditions and industrial markets remain strong." (Transportation Equipment) -"Seasonal pick-up underway in the office furniture industry." (Furniture & Related Products) -"Market has slowed this month - weather in some parts of the country, also customers built inventory in anticipation of building increase, but the economy is still slow to pick up this spring." (Wood Products) -"Overall, volume is steady or slightly declining. Q1 sales volume is lower than projected." (Chemical Products) OVERALL ECONOMY Manufacturing Sector Growing Slower 47 Growing Slower 5 *Number of months moving in current direction COMMODITIES REPORTED UP/DOWN IN PRICE and IN SHORT SUPPLY Commodities Up in Price Caustic Soda; Corrugated Boxes (9); HDPE (4); Lumber (4); Natural Gas; Plastic Resins (3); and Polypropylene (6). Commodities Down in Price Aluminum; Steel; and Steel - Cold Rolled. Commodities in Short Supply No commodities are reported in short supply. Note: The number of consecutive months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item. APRIL 2013 MANUFACTURING INDEX SUMMARIES PMI Manufacturing expanded in April as the PMI registered 50.7 percent, a decrease of 0.6 percentage point when compared to March's reading of 51.3 percent. This month's reading reflects the fifth consecutive month of growth in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting. A PMI in excess of 42.2 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. Therefore, the April PMI indicates growth for the 47th consecutive month in the overall economy, and indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector for the fifth consecutive month. Holcomb stated, "The past relationship between the PMI and the overall economy indicates that the average PMI for January through April (52.3 percent) corresponds to a 3.2 percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) on an annualized basis. In addition, if the PMI for April (50.7 percent) is annualized, it corresponds to a 2.7 percent increase in real GDP annually." New Orders ISM's New Orders Index registered 52.3 percent in April, an increase of 0.9 percentage point when compared to the March reading of 51.4 percent. This represents growth in new orders for the fourth consecutive month. A New Orders Index above 52.2 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Census Bureau's series on manufacturing orders (in constant 2000 dollars). The 10 industries reporting growth in new orders in April - listed in order - are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Furniture & Related Products; Transportation Equipment; Fabricated Metal Products; Paper Products; Machinery; Chemical Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; and Computer & Electronic Products. The three industries reporting a decrease in new orders during April are: Wood Products; Primary Metals; and Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products. Production ISM's Production Index registered 53.5 percent in April, which is an increase of 1.3 percentage points when compared to the 52.2 percent reported in March. This indicates growth in production for the eighth consecutive month. An index above 51.2 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Federal Reserve Board's Industrial Production figures. The 12 industries reporting growth in production during the month of April - listed in order - are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Furniture & Related Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Primary Metals; Fabricated Metal Products; Machinery; Paper Products; Transportation Equipment; Chemical Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; and Computer & Electronic Products. The two industries reporting a decrease in production in April are: Plastics & Rubber Products; and Wood Products. Employment ISM's Employment Index registered 50.2 percent in April, which is 4 percentage points lower than the 54.2 percent reported in March. This month's reading indicates growth in employment for the 43rd consecutive month, but at a slower rate. An Employment Index above 50.5 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data on manufacturing employment. Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 12 reported growth in employment in April in the following order: Printing & Related Support Activities; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Primary Metals; Machinery; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Paper Products; and Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products. The four industries reporting a decrease in employment in April are: Wood Products; Transportation Equipment; Computer & Electronic Products; and Chemical Products. Supplier Deliveries The delivery performance of suppliers to manufacturing organizations was slower in April as the Supplier Deliveries Index registered 50.9 percent, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than the 49.4 percent reported in March. This indicates the third month of slower supplier deliveries in 2013, but follows one month of faster deliveries in March. A reading below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries, while a reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries. The six industries reporting slower supplier deliveries in April - listed in order - are: Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Furniture & Related Products; Primary Metals; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Fabricated Metal Products; and Computer & Electronic Products. The two industries reporting faster supplier deliveries in April are: Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Chemical Products. Nine industries reported no change in supplier deliveries in April compared to March. Inventories* The Inventories Index registered 46.5 percent in April, which is 3 percentage points lower than the 49.5 percent reported in March. This month's reading indicates that respondents are reporting inventories are contracting in April for the second consecutive month, and at a faster rate than in March. An Inventories Index greater than 42.7 percent, over time, is generally consistent with expansion in the Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) figures on overall manufacturing inventories (in chained 2000 dollars). The seven industries reporting higher inventories in April - listed in order - are: Wood Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Furniture & Related Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Paper Products; Machinery; and Computer & Electronic Products. The seven industries reporting decreases in inventories in April - listed in order - are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Primary Metals; Transportation Equipment; Chemical Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing. Customers' Inventories* The ISM Customers' Inventories Index registered 44.5 percent in April, which is 3 percentage points lower than in March when the index registered 47.5 percent. This month's reading indicates that customers' inventories are considered too low, and lower than reported in March. Customers' inventories have registered at or below 50 percent for 49 consecutive months. A reading below 50 percent indicates customers' inventories are considered too low. The two manufacturing industries reporting customers' inventories as being too high during the month of April are: Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Chemical Products. The 10 industries reporting customers' inventories as too low during April - listed in order - are: Plastics & Rubber Products; Wood Products; Furniture & Related Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Primary Metals; Transportation Equipment; Fabricated Metal Products; Paper Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; and Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components. Prices* The ISM Prices Index remained unchanged at 50 percent in April, which is a decrease of 4.5 percentage points compared to the March reading of 54.5 percent. The Prices Index has decreased by 11.5 percentage points in the last two months. In April, 15 percent of respondents reported paying higher prices, 15 percent reported paying lower prices, and 70 percent of supply executives reported paying the same prices as in March. A Prices Index above 49.7 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Index of Manufacturers Prices. Of the 18 manufacturing industries, six reported paying increased prices during the month of April in the following order: Furniture & Related Products; Paper Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Wood Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; and Chemical Products. The seven industries reporting paying lower prices during April - listed in order - are: Transportation Equipment; Computer & Electronic Products; Primary Metals; Machinery; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Fabricated Metal Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing. Backlog of Orders* ISM's Backlog of Orders Index registered 53 percent in April, which is 2 percentage points higher than the 51 percent reported in March. This is the third consecutive month of growth in order backlogs, following 10 consecutive months of contraction. Of the 85 percent of respondents who reported their backlog of orders, 25 percent reported greater backlogs, 19 percent reported smaller backlogs, and 56 percent reported no change from March. The eight industries reporting increased order backlogs in April - listed in order - are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Paper Products; Chemical Products; and Transportation Equipment. The six industries reporting decreases in order backlogs during April - listed in order - are: Machinery; Plastics & Rubber Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Computer & Electronic Products; and Wood Products. New Export Orders* ISM's New Export Orders Index registered 54 percent in April, which is 2 percentage points lower than the 56 percent reported in March. This month's reading represents the fifth consecutive month of growth in new export orders, and follows six months of contraction dating back to June 2012. The seven industries reporting growth in new export orders in April - listed in order - are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Wood Products; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Chemical Products; Paper Products; and Transportation Equipment. The three industries reporting a decrease in new export orders during April are: Primary Metals; Computer & Electronic Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing. Seven industries reported no change in new export orders in April compared to March. Imports *ISM's Imports Index registered 55 percent in April, which is 1 percentage point higher than the 54 percent reported in March. This month's reading represents the fifth consecutive month that the Imports Index has registered at or above 50 percent. The eight industries reporting growth in imports during the month of April - listed in order - are: Printing & Related Support Activities; Primary Metals; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Transportation Equipment; Computer & Electronic Products; Machinery; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing. The four industries reporting a decrease in imports during April are: Petroleum & Coal Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; and Chemical Products. Imports percent Reporting * The Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Prices, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders and Imports Indexes do not meet the accepted criteria for seasonal adjustments. Buying Policy Average commitment lead time for Capital Expenditures increased 8 days to 122 days. Average lead time for Production Materials increased 1 day to 58 days. Average lead time for Maintenance, Repair and Operating (MRO) Supplies remained the same at 26 days. About this Report The data presented herein is obtained from a survey of manufacturing supply managers based on information they have collected within their respective organizations. ISM makes no representation, other than that stated within this release, regarding the individual company data collection procedures. Use of the data is in the public domain and should be compared to all other economic data sources when used in decision-making. More information: www.ism.ws ((Comments on this story may be sent to [email protected])) |