[November 20, 2009] IE Market Research Corporation: India will have 942 million mobile subscribers in 2013 with market share of Bharti Airtel increasing to 26.7%, according to new market research report by IEMR Tweet Vancouver, Nov 20, 2009 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) -- IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 4Q09 India Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013. "Wireless subscriber growth in India continues to be one of the fastest in the world. The industry-average subscriber growth was 49.0% in 2Q.2009. Our forecasting model predicts that the number of total wireless subscribers in India will reach 942.3 million in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "Bharti-Airtel will continue to be the largest operator in India. We expect that its subscriber base will increase from 85.7 million in 2008 to 251.1 million in 2013. Our model also predicts that RCom (Reliance Communications) will have 174.1 million mobile subscribers and Vodafone Essar will have 151.6 million mobile subscribers by the end of 2013." "We also think that ARPU levels in India will continue to fall across operators over the next several years. Our model predicts that the industry average monthly ARPU will decline from INR 302 in 2008 to INR 227 in 2013. We expect that RCom will continue to receive the lowest ARPUs in India's mobile operator space. We forecast that its monthly ARPU will decline from INR 277 in 2008 to INR 189 in 2013," said Mr. Assanie. IEMR's India Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in India - Reliance Communications Ltd. (RCom), Vodafone Essar Limited, Bharti Airtel Limited, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL), and Idea Cellular Limited. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 India Mobile Operator Forecast include: * Bharti Airtel will continue to be the leader in India's wireless market. We forecast that its subscriber market share will increase from 24.7% in 2008 to 26.7% in 2013. We also expect that market share of Idea will be increasing over the next five years to reach 12.3% in 2013. In contrast, our model predicts that BSNL's market share will decline from 13.3% in 2008 to 9.4% in 2013. * We expect that Bharti Airtel's EBITDA margins will continue to be higher than those of RCom and Idea. * Our model predicts that EBITDA margins (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) at Bharti Airtel, RCom, and Idea will be 47.1%, 40.5%, and 19.6% respectively in 2013. IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics. To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1315&flag=1 Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast Reliance Communications Ltd. Vodafone Essar Limited Bharti Airtel Limited Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL) (For BSNL, only the subscriber data is available.) Idea Cellular Limited Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011 PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY) SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR * MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR * DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) * MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR * HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR * REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) * SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) * EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) * CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) * SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) * EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) * EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR * EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR * EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR * CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR * CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR * (EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR * EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR * REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) * ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) * VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) * EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) * CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) * * Available only for Reliance Communications (RCom), Bharti Airtel, and Idea Cellular CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research Tel: +1 604 327 4367 e-mail: [email protected] WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com ((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. 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