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Middle East and North Africa Mobile Services Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 - Based on 2Q 2017 Data -
[March 29, 2018]

Middle East and North Africa Mobile Services Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 - Based on 2Q 2017 Data -

The "Mobile Services in the Middle East and North Africa: Trends and Forecasts 2017-2022 Based on 2Q 2017 Data" report has been added to's offering.

The total retail revenue will see a slight increase as mobile data growth offsets declining revenue from voice and messaging.

This report examines the key trends and drivers, and provides telecoms market forecasts for mobile communication services the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). It includes worldwide context and commentary on six key countries: Iran, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

This report provides:

  • a 5-year forecast of 127 mobile KPIs for the MENA region and for six key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile service, and for six key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, highlighting similarities and differences between countries
  • a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for mobile operators.

Data coverage

Mobile connections

  • Handset, mobile broadband,1 IoT2
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • Smartphone, nn-smartphone

Mobile revenue

  • Service, 3 retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband,1 IoT2
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Mobile ARPU

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice, data

Voice traffic

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU

Key Topics Covered:

Chapter Number:

Executive summary

  • The telecoms service market in MENA will grow to USD72.1 billion in 2022, amidst increased competition and challenging operating conditions

Worldwide trends

  • Worldwide: mobile service revenue will continue to grow throughout the forecast period

Regional trends

  • The total retail revenue will increase slightly as mobile data growth offsets declining revenue from voice and messaging
  • Mobile: LTE (News - Alert) take-up is accelerating in several markets; this is contributing to traffic growth, but also slowing down ARPU drop
  • Mobile: maturing markets and enforced SIM registration policies have led to a subscriber base contraction in some countries
  • Mobile: growth in demand for data services and migration to postpaid connections will help to reduce the rate of decline of ARPU
  • Mobile: data revenue will help to offset the slowdown in legacy services growth revenue and the plateauing of mobile penetration

Country-level trends

  • Iran: 4G services and the entry of MVNOs will underpin growth
  • Kuwait: mobile market growth will be hampered by market saturation
  • Oman: OTT substitution will continue to erode revenue for legacy services while driving rapid growth in data
  • Qatar: the market retains its potential for growth thanks to its strong economy which appears resilient to continued sanctions
  • Saudi Arabia: growing demand for data combined with improved coverage will partly offset the declining subscriber base
  • UAE: a strong economy will continue to drive growth in the mobile market despite diminishing returns from data services

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