Denmark's MNOs prepare to close down 3G services
Sydney, March 12, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Just released, this edition of Paul Budde Communication’s focus report on Denmark outlines the major developments and key aspects in the telecoms markets. Read the full report: https://www.budde.com.au/Research/Denmark-Telecoms-Mobile-and-Broadband-Statistics-and-Analyses
Denmark’s competitive telecom market continues to benefit from having one of the highest broadband penetration rates globally, as well as comprehensive LTE coverage and a fast-developing 5G segment. This market maturity has stimulated a range of IP-enabled applications which has encouraged revenue growth in the mobile and internet segments, though market competition meant that overall sector growth fell for several years before picking up in 2018.
Excellent cable and DSL infrastructure have been supported by a progressive regulatory regime which has encouraged operator access to both copper and fibre networks. Fibre networks have a fast-growing footprint, while a number of community and metropolitan schemes have supplemented TDC’s own commitments to build out fibre nationally. The development of VDSL and fibre, as well as LTE-A and 5G in the mobile market, is crucial to meeting the government’s objective for all premises to have access to a 100Mb/s service by the end of 2020.
This report introduces the key aspects of the Danish telecom market, providing data on the fixed network services sector as well as profiles of the major operators. It also analyses market statistics and assesses the key regulatory issues including interconnection, local loop unbundling, number portability and carrier preselection. In addition, the market reviews the fixed broadband and mobile markets, including a range of subscriber forecasts.
Key developments
3 Denmark planning to close down 3G services by end-2020; Auction for spectrum in the 3.5GHz band expected later in 2020; Nokia Networks given five-year managed services contract for TT-Netværket; TDC expands NB-IoT across its LTE footprint; Aqua Comms finishes work on the HAVFRUE submarine cable; TDC completes DOCSIS3.1 network upgrade; Continuing slide in the number of PSTN lines; Report update includes the regulator's market data update to June 2019, telcos' operating and financial data to Q4 2019, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, recent market developments. Companies mentioned in this report
TDC, Telia Denmark, Telenor, MIT Tele (DLG Tele), 3 Denmark, Lycamobile, Tele2
Table of Contents
Key Statistics Regional Market Comparison Europe Telecom Maturity Index by tier Market Leaders Market Challengers Market Emergents TMI versus GDP Mobile and mobile broadband penetration Fixed versus mobile broadband penetration Country overview Telecommunications market Regulatory environment Historical overview Regulatory authority Fixed-line developments Privatisation of Tele Danmark Interconnect Access Number Portability (NP) Carrier PreSelection (CPS) Mobile network developments Spectrum Roaming Mobile Number Portability (MNP) Mobile Termination Rates (MTRs) Network sharing Mobile market Market statistics Mobile infrastructure 5G 4G (LTE) 3G Other infrastructure developments Mobile voice Mobile data Mobile broadband Major mobile operators TDC Telenor Denmark Telia Danmark 3 Denmark Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) Mobile content and applications Near Field Communications M-commerce Fixed-line broadband market Market analysis Broadband statistics Government support Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks Very High Data Rate DSL (VDSL) Vectoring DSL Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks Other fixed broadband services Fixed wireless WiMAX Satellite Broadband Powerline (BPL) Fixed network operators Introduction TDC Telenor Denmark Telia Denmark Telecommunications infrastructure Overview of the national telecom network VoIP Next Generation Access (NGA) Alternative networks International infrastructure Submarine cable networks Satellite networks Smart infrastructure Appendix – Historic data Related reports
List of Tables
Table 1 – Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities – 2020 (e) Table 2 – Development of telecom revenue by sector – 2009 - 2018 Table 3 – Development of telecom earnings (EBIT) – 2007 - 2018 Table 4 – Development of telecom investment and proportion of revenue – 2009 – 2018 Table 5 – Change in fixed infrastructure investment by type– 2015 – 2018 Table 6 – Change in the number of annual fixed-line number portings – 2006 – 2019 Table 7 – Change in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2009 – 2019 Table 8 – Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Table 9 – Growth in the number of mobile voice and data subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 10 – Change in mobile services revenue by type – 2009 – 2018 Table 11 – Fall in average revenue per mobile subscriber – 2009 – 2018 Table 12 – Change in mobile sector investment – 2015 – 2018 Table 13 – Change in the market share of mobile subscribers by operator (main operators) – 2009 – 2019 Table 14 – Change in the market share of mobile subscribers by operator (main operators) – 2009 – 2019 Table 15 – Fall in the number of prepaid subscriptions and proportion of total – 2010 – 2019 Table 16 – Growth in the number of LTE subscriptions – 2015 – 2019 Table 17 – Growth in he number of M2M subscriptions by operator – 2008 – 2019 Table 18 – Development of mobile voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 19 – Fall in SMS traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 20 – Growth in MMS traffic – 2009 - 2019 Table 21 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 22 – Change in the number of dedicated mobile data subscriptions – 2008 – 2019 Table 23 – Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscriptions – 2009 – 2024 Table 24 – Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscriptions – 2009 – 2024 Table 25 – Growth in the number of TDC’s mobile broadband subscribers – 2008 – 2019 Table 26 – Growth in the number of TDC’s mobile broadband subscribers – 2008 – 2019 Table 27 – Change in the number of TDC’s domestic mobile subscribers (retail, wholesale) – 2007 – 2019 Table 28 – Growth in TDC’s mobile voice ARPU (consumer) – 2016 – 2019 Table 29 – TDC’s spectrum concessions in Denmark Table 30 – Change in the number of Telenor Denmark’s mobile subscribers, proportion prepaid – 2009 – 2019 Table 31 – Development of Telenor Denmark’s mobile ARPU by type – 2009 – 2019 Table 32 – Development of Telenor Denmark’s mobile revenue – 2009 – 2019 Table 33 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s mobile subscribers – 2005 – 2019 Table 34 – Change in Telia Denmark’s blended mobile ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Table 35 – Development of Telia Denmark’s mobile service revenue – 2006 – 2019 Table 36 – Change in the number of 3 Denmark’s registered subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Table 37 – Change in the number of 3 Denmark’s active subscribers – 2018 – 2019 Table 38 – Development of 3 Denmark’s mobile financial data – 2010 – 2019 Table 39 – Change in 3 Denmark’s annualised monthly ARPU – 2011 – 2019 Table 40 – Change in the number of fixed and mobile internet subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 41 – Change in the number of total subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2019 Table 42 – Change in fixed broadband penetration by technology – 2007 – 2018 Table 43 – Development of fixed broadband subscribers by technology – 2009 – 2019 Table 44 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration– 2009 – 2024 Table 45 – Broadband subscribers by lower access speeds – 2010 – 2019 Table 46 – Growth in the number of broadband subscribers by superfast (>100Mb/s) access speed – 2017 – 2019 Table 47 – Development of fixed-line broadband revenue by type – 2007 – 2018 Table 48 – Growth in fixed-line broadband traffic – 2017 – 2019 Table 49 – Change in the number of TDC’s broadband subscribers – 2011 – 2019 Table 50 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s broadband subscribers and ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Table 51 – Decline in the number of Telenor Denmark’s broadband subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Table 52 – Growth in the number of VDSL lines – 2013 – 2019 Table 53 – Growth in the number of fibre broadband subscribers by type – 2009 – 2019 Table 54 – Change in the number of wireless broadband subscribers by type – 2006 – 2018 Table 55 – Satellite broadband subscribers – 2012 – 2019 Table 56 – Decline in the number of fixed subscriber lines by major operator – 2010 – 2019 Table 57 – Fixed subscriber lines by minor operator – 2010 – 2019 Table 58 – Decline in the number of fixed network lines by type – 2009 – 2019 Table 59 – Development of TDC Group’s financial data – 2007 – 2019 Table 60 – Development of TDC’s consumer and business revenue – 2010 – 2019 Table 61 – TDC consumer revenue by sector – 2010 – 2019 Table 62 – TDC business revenue by sector – 2010 – 2019 Table 63 – Development of TDC’s consumer RGUs by sector – 2012 – 2019 Table 64 – Decline in Telenor Denmark’s fixed-line revenue – 2006 – 2019 Table 65 – Development of Telenor Denmark’s EBITDA, op. profit – 2005 – 2019 Table 66 – Change in the number of Telenor Denmark’s fixed-line subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 67 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s fixed-line subscribers by sector – 2010 – 2019 Table 68 – Development of Telia Denmark’s revenue by sector – 2006 – 2019 Table 69 – Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2009 – 2024 Table 70 – Decline in fixed-telephony voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 71 – Development of retail and wholesale fixed-telephony revenue – 2013 – 2018 Table 72 – Development of VoIP subscribers and traffic – 2009 – 2019 Table 73 – Change in the number of TDC’s VoIP subscribers – 2008 – 2019 Table 74 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’ VoIP subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Table 75 – Change in the number of NGA connections by type – 2013 – 2019 Table 76 – Change in international internet bandwidth – 2009 – 2017 Table 77 –- Telecom sector investment – 2002 – 2009 Table 78 – Historic - Telecom investment and proportion of revenue – 2001 – 2009 Table 79 – Historic - Carrier and call-by-call PreSelection registrations – 2005 – 2013 Table 80 – Historic - Mobile voice traffic – 2005 – 2009 Table 81 – Historic - TDC mobile services revenue by segment – 2007 – 2018 Table 82 – Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration – 1999 – 2009 Table 83 – Historic - Prepaid subscriptions and percentage of subscribers – 1999 – 2009 Table 84 – Historic - Mobile retail services revenue – 2001 – 2009 Table 85 – Historic - Mobile traffic in minutes – 2005 – 2009 Table 86 – Historic - Annual mobile numbers ported – 2003 – 2009 Table 87 – Historic - Telenor Denmark mobile subscribers, proportion prepaid – 2004 – 2009 Table 88 – Historic - Telenor Denmark ARPU – 2004 – 2009 Table 89 – Historic - Telenor Denmark’s mobile revenue – 2005 – 2009 Table 90 – Historic 3 Denmark financial data – 2007 – 2009 Table 91 – Historic - 3 Denmark annualised monthly ARPU and data proportion – 2007 – 2010 Table 92 – Historic - SMS traffic – 2003 – 2009 Table 93 – Historic - SMS sent per subscriber – 2014 – 2017 Table 94 – Historic - Total MMS sent – 2003 - 2009 Table 95 – Historic - MMS sent per subscriber – 2014 – 2017 Table 96 – Historic - Internet users and penetration rate – 1996 – 2015 Table 97 – Historic –Internet subscribers and penetration rate – 2004 – 2009 Table 98 – Historic - Dial-up internet subscribers – 2007 – 2018 Table 99 – Historic - Total fixed-line broadband subscribers by sector – 2001 – 2009 Table 100 – Historic - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration – 2001 – 2009 Table 101 – Historic – Mobile, fixed telephony and broadband revenue – 2001 – 2012 Table 102 – Historic - Broadband coverage by data rate – 2011 – 2015 Table 103 – Historic - Fibre broadband subscribers by type – 2005 – 2009 Table 104 – Historic - Fixed network and ISDN lines – 2003 – 2009 Table 105 – Historic - Telenor Denmark fixed-line subscribers – 2005 – 2009 Table 106 – Historic - Telia Denmark fixed-line subscribers by sector – 2005 – 2009 Table 107 – Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity – 1999 – 2009 Table 108 – Historic - Fixed-telephony domestic voice traffic – 2005 – 2009 Table 109 – Historic - Average revenue per fixed line – 2013 – 2017 Table 110 – Historic - Development of VoIP subscribers and traffic – 2005 – 2009 Table 111 – Historic - Telenor VoIP subscribers – 2008 – 2014 Table 112 – Historic - International internet bandwidth – 1999 – 2009
List of Charts Chart 1 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Leaders (top tier) Chart 2 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Challengers (middle tier) Chart 3 – Europe Telecoms Maturity Index – Market Emergents (bottom tier) Chart 4 – Overall view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita Chart 5 – Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 6 – Scandinavia and Baltics: mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 7 – Northern Europe –mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 8 – Southern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 9 – Eastern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration Chart 10 – Scandinavia and Baltics fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 11 – Northern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 12 – Southern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 13 – Eastern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration Chart 14 – Development of telecom revenue by sector – 2009 - 2018 Chart 15 – Development of telecom investment and proportion of revenue – 2009 – 2018 Chart 16 – Change in fixed infrastructure investment by type– 2015 – 2018 Chart 17 – Change in the number of annual fixed-line number portings – 2006 – 2019 Chart 18 – Change in the number of annual mobile numbers ported – 2009 – 2019 Chart 19 – Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2024 Chart 20 – Growth in the number of mobile voice and data subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 21 – Change in mobile services revenue by type – 2009 – 2018 Chart 22 – Fall in average revenue per mobile subscriber – 2009 – 2018 Chart 23 – Fall in the number of prepaid subscriptions and proportion of total – 2010 – 2019 Chart 24 – Growth in the number of M2M subscriptions by operator – 2008 – 2019 Chart 25 – Development of mobile voice traffic – 2005 – 2019 Chart 26 – Fall in SMS traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 27 – Growth in MMS traffic – 2009 - 2019 Chart 28 – Growth in mobile data traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 29 – Change in the number of dedicated mobile data subscriptions – 2008 – 2019 Chart 30 – Change in the number of TDC’s domestic subscribers (retail, wholesale) – 2007 – 2019 Chart 31 – Change in the number of Telenor Denmark’s mobile subscribers, proportion prepaid – 2009 – 2019 Chart 32 – Development of Telenor Denmark’s mobile ARPU by type – 2009 – 2019 Chart 33 – Development of Telenor Denmark’s mobile revenue – 2009 – 2019 Chart 34 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s mobile subscribers – 2005 – 2019 Chart 35 – Change in Telia Denmark’s blended mobile ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Chart 36 – Development of Telia Denmark’s mobile service revenue – 2006 – 2019 Chart 37 – Change in the number of 3 Denmark’s registered subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Chart 38 – Development of 3 Denmark’s mobile financial data – 2010 – 2019 Chart 39 – Change in 3 Denmark’s annualised monthly ARPU – 2011 – 2019 Chart 40 – Change in the number of fixed and mobile internet subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 41 – Change in the number of internet subscribers and penetration – 2009 – 2019 Chart 42 – Change in fixed broadband penetration by technology – 2007 – 2018 Chart 43 – Development of fixed broadband subscribers by technology – 2009 – 2019 Chart 44 – Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration– 2009 – 2024 Chart 45 – Growth in the number of broadband subscribers by superfast (>100Mb/s) access speed – 2017 – 2019 Chart 46 – Development of fixed-line broadband revenue by type – 2007 – 2018 Chart 47 – Change in the number of TDC’s broadband subscribers – 2011 – 2019 Chart 48 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s broadband subscribers and ARPU – 2007 – 2019 Chart 49 – Decline in the number of Telenor Denmark’s broadband subscribers – 2007 – 2019 Chart 50 – Growth in the number of VDSL lines – 2013 – 2019 Chart 51 – Growth in the number of fibre broadband subscribers by type – 2009 – 2019 Chart 52 – Decline in the number of fixed subscriber lines by major operator – 2010 – 2019 Chart 53 – Decline in the number of fixed subscriber lines by minor operator – 2010 – 2019 Chart 54 – Decline in the number of fixed network lines by type – 2009 – 2019 Chart 55 – Development of TDC Group’s financial data – 2007 – 2019 Chart 56 – Development of TDC’s consumer and business revenue – 2010 – 2019 Chart 57 – Development of TDC’s consumer RGUs by sector – 2012 – 2019 Chart 58 – Decline in Telenor Denmark’s fixed-line revenue – 2006 – 2019 Chart 59 – Change in the number of Telenor Denmark’s fixed-line subscribers – 2009 – 2019 Chart 60 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s fixed-line subscribers by sector – 2007 – 2019 Chart 61 – Change in the number of Telia Denmark’s fixed-line subscribers by sector – 2006 – 2019 Chart 62 – Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity – 2009 – 2024 Chart 63 – Decline in fixed-telephony voice traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 64 – Development of retail and wholesale fixed-telephony revenue – 2013 – 2018 Chart 65 – Development of VoIP subscribers and traffic – 2009 – 2019 Chart 66 – Change in the number of NGA connections by type – 2013 – 2019 List of Exhibits
Exhibit 1 – Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment Exhibit 2 – Access and the local loop Exhibit 3 – Denmark’s 3G licensing results – 2001 Exhibit 4 – 2.5GHz licence awards – 2010 Exhibit 5 – 800MHz licence awards – 2012 Exhibit 6 – 1800MHz licence awards – 2016 Exhibit 7 – 3 Denmark spectrum concessions Read the full report: https://www.budde.com.au/Research/Denmark-Telecoms-Mobile-and-Broadband-Statistics-and-Analyses
Nicolas Bombourg
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