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October 2008 | Volume 11 / Number 10
Publishers Outlook

My Views on Communications and the Economy

Many people asked me recently at ITEXPO (News - Alert) West 2008 Los Angeles, what I see happening in the communications market from an economic perspective. Let’s just say that on the way to the show, I was watching TV as the stock market plunged and there was talk of another Great Depression. When I got to the show I must say I was unclear how the financial markets would affect the communications space.

After speaking with many people in our markets, the end result is that most people believe the space is very strong and in fact some companies are seeing increased sales of their solutions as a result of travel cutbacks and high fuel costs. It seems if you sell products which increase productivity when corporations are belt-tightening, you are in good shape.

In fact, the attendance at the show was very strong. I feel we would have had even more traffic if there wasn’t as much fear in the financial markets. What really made it an interesting week was when I turned on CNN; I thought I was on CNBC. The coverage was 100 percent financial, all the time. In such an environment, people probably have trouble leaving the TV. Even the news anchors on CNBC who typically leave in the late morning were at their desks until after midnight.

Certainly TV stations feed on this viewership and seem to ensure they position the news in such a way to ensure it is self-perpetuating – but this is a topic for another day. The tremendous focus on negative financial news from the general media led to the stories I heard of hedge fund redemptions leading to lower industry stock prices. In addition, a general theme in our markets and beyond is companies pausing more before signing contracts. There is more indecision than at any time I remember. Companies want to reinvest in their businesses but they seem to just be waiting more than they used to.

In my opinion, in order to counter this delay in contract signing, we have to work harder and/or smarter, making more sales calls and doing more marketing. Sales after all is a numbers game when all else is equal. Now is when companies who are good marketers will take share from those who are good engineers. It happens every time the economy slows and this time will be no exception. In fact, companies who used to rely heavily on existing companies to fuel their growth by supplying solutions to a growing workforce are going to have to shift to customer acquisition. Companies are not adding as many employees as they used to which means growth has to come through competing for new customers.

If you work internally, you need to spend time selling the productivity benefits of the solutions you propose purchasing. In some cases, vendors will work with you on financing (assuming there are banks left when you read this) who can ensure a positive ROI from day one of the investment.

So my final response to the financial question in our markets is that if I had a choice of industries, I would want to work in one where our products help companies save money. Moreover, I would want to work in an industry which has little excess and has already seen its bubble burst years back. I do believe communications is a great place to be and new technologies like UC, mobility and telepresence make companies stronger and more productive and in a slower market, these are the things companies desperately need.


Google T-Mobile G1 Released

The much anticipated Google T-Mobile G1 Phone based on Android (News - Alert)/OHA was finally released to an eager market. I must say, it remains to be seen how Google competes with Apple in the UI game. While Apple has a simple but elegant design to its solutions, Google (News - Alert)’s solutions are simple and plain.

Google could of course differentiate its phone with free services but Apple can do the same and while Google is great at search, few of the company’s other applications and services can’t be easily duplicated by others. It will be fascinating to watch who wins the mobile wars between these computer companies but in cases like this, my money is always on the consumer.


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