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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri: Third Quarter 2016 ResultsTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (NYSE:TKC) (BIST:TCELL):
NINE MONTHS SUMMARY
THIRD QUARTER SUMMARY
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
(1) EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See page 14 for the
reconciliation and the explanation of how we calculate Adjusted EBITDA
to net income. COMMENTS BY KAAN TERZIOGLU, CEO With our value driven and service focused approach, we have begun generating returns from our 4.5G investments We registered all-time-high revenue and EBITDA, both at the Turkcell Turkey and Turkcell Group level in the first nine months. In the third quarter, Turkcell Group achieved the highest growth level of the past three years at 8.8% with a performance that improved every quarter. The EBITDA margin was at 33.3% in the same period. In the aftermath of a treasonous July 15th coup attempt, we fulfilled our duty of delivering accurate and timely information by providing free emergency communication packages to our customers. Revenue growth and EBITDA margin would have been 10.4% and 34.4% respectively, excluding the effect of these packages. In the first nine months of the year, Turkcell Turkey, generating 90% of Group revenues, continued its growth at 8.6%, recording an EBITDA margin of 31.9%. Group revenues rose 8.6% to TRY10.2 billion, while EBITDA increased 5.4% to TRY3.2 billion on a 31.7% EBITDA margin. Proforma Group net income1 was at TRY1.8 billion, while net income as per IFRS was at TRY1.1 billion. With these results, which are in line with our plans, we reiterate our 2016 full year guidance of 8%-10% revenue growth, a 31%-33% EBITDA margin and an operational capex to sales ratio of 25%, the latter of which we had revised in Q216.2 In the first nine months of 2016, we continued our 4.5G investments at full speed. With our 4.5G investments, we registered an operational capex to sales ratio of 21.5% for the first nine months of the year. As of today, our 4.5G customers have reached 19 million3, while 22% of total data traffic has derived from our 4.5G network. With the contribution of 4.5G users, data usage per customer increased 61% to 2.6GB compared to last year. Our smartphone penetration in Turkey, gaining momentum, reached 62% at the end of the third quarter. Our data and services&solutions revenues grew by 76.5% year-on-year through our investments and increasing customer demand. Turkcell Turkey: Our subscriber numbers are rising due to converged services that differentiate us in user experience During the third quarter of 2016, the total number of subscribers in the five countries where we have direct operations were at 49.7 million with 34.84 million subscribers being from Turkey. Meanwhile, Turkcell Turkey continued to gain mobile, fiber and TV subscribers in the quarter, with mobile subscribers up 179 thousand to 32.8 million. Postpaid customers rose by 897 thousand year-on-year to 52% of our mobile subscriber base. Fiber subscribers in the fixed segment rose by 140 thousand year-on-year to 992 thousand, with total fixed subscribers exceeding 1.7 million. In line with our convergence strategy, the mobile triple play ratio, which includes customers of voice, data and services combined reached 28%5, while multiplay with TV6 service users registered at 34%.
(1) We use "proforma net income" as a means of presenting our net income
net of certain non-operating items and items that we believe are
non-recurring. We define "proforma net income" in this document as net
income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact),
interest Income on time deposits of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri,
interest expense on loans & borrowings, share of profit of equity
accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off
items. Please note that this is a non-GAAP measure and that we may in
future presentations change the scope of items that we deduct from net
income to arrive at "proforma net income." With the rise in postpaid base and data and service revenues, ARPU from mobile subscribers rose 6.9% year-on-year to TRY27.9. Excluding the free emergency communication package impact, ARPU would have increased by 8.8% to TRY28.4. Meanwhile, fixed residential ARPU rose 5.1% to TRY51.6. English Premier League now on Turkcell TV+ In the third quarter, Turkcell TV+ became the official broadcaster of the UK's Premier League, which is considered one of the world's most prestigious football leagues. On the mobile platform, the Premier League is now available exclusively through Turkcell TV+. Along with the English Premier League, Turkcell TV+ providing privileged coverage to sports fans, also holds the broadcasting rights for the Bundesliga, NBA and Formula 1. We will continue to provide diversified services to our customers on our 4.5G platform, which has the widest spectrum. In this context, we remain excited about the upcoming Turkish Super League live broadcast tender, and the possibility of broadcasting it through our mobile TV platform, with a view to providing football content to even more people. Our Digital Services attract global attention Innovation in our digital services, our key focal point, has continued in this quarter. Developed entirely with national resources, BiP continues to attract interest from all over the world, including Europe and the USA. Having been downloaded more than 10 million times in 192 countries, BiP has been a major success within a short period of time. As the number of customers who downloaded the application from abroad exceeded 1 million, BiP has progressed towards becoming a global brand. BiP, a new dimension in the concept of communication, has marked a world-first with its fax service through BiP message. Meanwhile, fizy, one of Turkey's largest music platforms, integrated with video clips and live concerts, has reached one million users by broadcasting Open Air Concerts, becoming Turkey's largest digital concert broadcaster. Elsewhere, the "Hello Hope" application was developed by Turkcell to meet the communication needs of Syrian refugees by making their lives easier through language assistance. The app, operational on all-access, has exceeded 100 thousand active users in just one month. Meanwhile, Turkey's first and only integrated game platform, Gamecell, made a fast entry into the games market, which has an estimated size of TRY2 billion. The platform, which currently offers around 2,000 games, will also enable its users to build their teams and participate in tournaments, besides the opportunity of following the latest developments in the games industry. We confidently work towards achieving our 2016 targets and keenly look forward to 2017 We have progressed in line with our plans over the past nine months, despite macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges. We expect to meet our year-end operational and financial targets, and are working towards a strong start to 2017. In this regard, to create more value for our stakeholders through maximizing the value of the strategic assets on our balance sheet, we are evaluating all options accordingly. We are currently evaluating various strategic alternatives for Fintur, in which we own a 41.45% stake, including its sale, following the inconclusive negotiations with Telia Company regarding the acquisition of the remaining stake in this asset. Global Tower is another strategic asset on our balance sheet. With a view to a more focused management of Global Tower, and to transforming it into a regional tower company, the first planned step was its initial public offering, now postponed to 2017. Investor interest in Global Tower during its IPO process has strengthened our confidence in our tower business model. We would like to take this opportunity to once again thank our Board of Directors and the Turkcell team for their outstanding performance, dedication and compassion, which fully embodies the Turkcell spirit. FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW OF THE THIRD QUARTER 2016 The following discussion focuses principally on the developments and trends in our business in the third quarter of 2016 in TRY terms. Selected financial information presented in this press release for the third quarter and nine months 2015 and 2016 is based on IFRS figures. Selected financial information for the third quarter of 2015, for the second and third quarters of 2016, nine months 2015 and 2016 prepared in accordance with IFRS and Turkish Accounting standards, is also included at the end of this press release. Financial Review of Turkcell Group
(1) Including depreciation and amortization expenses. Revenues of the Group rose by 8.8% year-on-year in Q316, in line with our full-year guidance. In July, we provided free of charge emergency packages to our customers for their communication needs following the coup attempt in Turkey. Excluding the impact of emergency packages, our Group revenues would have risen by 10.4%. Turkcell Turkey revenues, constituting 90% of Group revenues, grew by 7.9% to TRY3,276 million (TRY3,035 million). Excluding the impact of the aforementioned emergency packages, Turkcell Turkey revenue growth would have been 9.7%. The rise in Turkcell Turkey revenues was driven by a 9.2% increase in consumer segment revenues to TRY2,626 million (TRY2,404 million), and 3.4% rise in corporate segment revenues to TRY536 million (TRY519 million). Consumer and corporate segment revenues in total grew by 8.2% to TRY3,162 million (TRY2,992 million). Our data and services&solutions revenues, comprising 60% of Turkcell Turkey revenues, rose by 76.5% to TRY1,972 million (TRY1,117 million). Following the launch of 4.5G, more than 90% of our investments, cost base and our customers' consumption are now data related. Hence, with the annulment of the minimum price rule regulation in Turkey, we are now able to reflect this reality in our tariffs and campaigns. Demand for our 4.5G services continued to increase in Q316. Accordingly, 22% of our data traffic, which rose 23% for the quarter, came through our 4.5G network. Our 4.5G subscribers consumed 2.1 times more data per month as compared to a non 4.5G user. Coupled with higher smartphone penetration of 62% and increased data users overall, data revenues rose by 80.8% to TRY1,699 million (TRY940 million). Mobile broadband revenues grew by 96.6% to TRY 1,430 million (TRY727 million), while fixed broadband revenues rose by 26.7% to TRY269 million (TRY213 million). Meanwhile, services and solutions revenues grew by 53.8% to TRY273 million (TRY177 million) driven mainly by increased usage of Turkcell TV+, fizy, personal cloud service and other mobile services. Wholesale revenues grew by 2.2% to TRY133 million (TRY130 million) driven by the rise in carrier traffic. Turkcell International revenues, comprising 6% of Group revenues, were at TRY222 million (TRY235 million), due to currency devaluation in Ukraine and Belarus as lifecell and BeST grew by 4.7% and 11.0%, respectively in local currency terms. Other subsidiaries' revenues, at 4% of Group revenues, which includes information and entertainment services, call center revenues and revenues from financial services rose by 69.9% to TRY160 million (TRY94 million). This was mainly driven by the contribution of our consumer finance company, which commenced operations in March 2016. Direct cost of revenues rose to 64.9% (59.1%) as a percentage of revenues in Q316. This was mainly due to the rise in depreciation and amortization expenses (3.1pp) reflecting the 4.5G license and investments, and various other cost items (2.7pp), mainly arising from our network and retail sales related device costs. Administrative expenses declined to 4.8% (5.0%) as a percentage of revenues in Q316. Selling and marketing expenses fell to 12.8% (14.1%) as a percentage of revenues in Q316, driven by the decline in selling expenses (0.7pp) with our value focused customer acquisition strategy, in personnel expenses (0.5pp) and in various other cost items (0.5pp). This more than offset the rise in marketing expenses (0.4pp) related mainly to 4.5G services. EBITDA1 rose by 4.9% year-on-year in Q316 with an EBITDA margin of 33.3% (34.5%). Direct cost of revenues (excluding depreciation and amortization) increased by 2.7pp, while administrative expenses and selling and marketing expenses declined by 0.2pp and 1.3pp, respectively. Excluding the impact of emergency packages, EBITDA would have grown by 10.1%, while the EBITDA margin would have been 34.4%.
(1) EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See page 14 for the reconciliation and an explanation of how we calculate Adjusted EBITDA to net income. Net finance expense of TRY163 million (net finance income of TRY30 million) was recorded in Q316. Depreciation of TRY against US$ and EUR led to a higher translation loss of TRY238 million in Q316 compared to TRY97 million in Q315. Moreover, the decline in interest income from time deposits and contracted receivables, as well as the rise in interest expenses in relation to loans and 4.5G payables led to a net finance expense in Q316. Please see Appendix A for translation gain and loss details. Income tax expense declined 42.0 % year-on-year in Q316. Please see Appendix A for details. Net income of the Group as per IFRS declined to TRY163 million (TRY630 million) in Q316. This was mainly due to higher quarterly translation losses, the negative contribution of Fintur, as well as increased interest expense on loans and 4.5G payables, and a higher amortization expense due to the 4.5G license. Moreover, in Q316 we booked a provision of TRY138 million to benefit from the tax amnesty based on Article 6736 mainly relating to our special communication tax dispute1. Proforma net income2 was at TRY705 million (TRY677 million) in Q316. The net income of Turkcell Turkey as per IFRS declined to TRY145 million (TRY605 million) in Q316, mainly due to the reasons explained above with respect to the decline in Group net income. Proforma net income2 was at TRY662 million (TRY649 million) in Q316. Please see Appendix A for a reconciliation of Group and Turkcell Turkey proforma net income to net income as per IFRS.
(1) For details, please refer to consolidated financial statements and
notes as at and for September 30, 2016 under note 20 on our website. Total debt as of September 30, 2016 rose to TRY8,132 million from TRY7,307 million as of June 30, 2016 mainly due to loans utilized by our consumer finance company and a translation increase in the FX denominated debt portfolio of Turkcell Turkey as TRY depreciated against US$ and EUR.
In accordance with our hedging policy, in July we engaged in a participating cross currency swap transaction for US$150 million of our Club loan. In August, with the easing in foreign exchange rates we engaged in another participating cross currency swap transaction for another US$100 million of our Club loan. With these transactions, US$250 million of our Club loan with 4 year final maturity and LIBOR + 2% annual interest rate has been swapped to fixed rate TRY denominated liability. Moreover, by converting free cash flow from operations to US$ and EUR, we decreased our foreign exchange risk in Q316. Having taken these actions, Turkcell Group's short position, which was at US$1.2 billion as at the end of Q216, declined to US$0.7 billion as at the end of Q316. TRY4,865 million of our consolidated debt is set at a floating rate, while TRY1,686 million will mature within less than a year. (Please note that the figures in parentheses refer to US$ or EUR equivalents). Cash flow analysis: Capital expenditures, including non-operational items amounted to TRY743.2 million in Q316. The cash flow item noted as "other" included the positive impact of decreases in advances given for fixed asset purchases (TRY210 million), prepaid expenses (TRY168 million) and other working capital (TRY 431 million). Capital expenditures, including non-operational items amounted to TRY2,361.2 million in 9M16. The cash flow item noted as "other" included payment of the second installment of the 4.5G license fee (TRY1,320 million), the negative impact of the increase in advances given for fixed asset purchases (TRY443 million) and the change in other working capital (TRY354 million). In Q316 and 9M16, operational capital expenditures* at the Group level were at 18.6% and 21.5% of total revenues, respectively.
(1) EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See page 14 for the
reconciliation and an explanation of how we calculate Adjusted EBITDA to
net income. Operational Review in Turkey
The mobile customer base grew by 179 thousand quarterly net additions to 32.8 million in total, driven by our value propositions focused on a richer customer experience. The postpaid subscriber base expanded by 218 thousand quarterly and by 897 thousand annual net additions to 17.0 million, comprising 52.0% (47.1%) of the total subscriber base. Meanwhile, customers in the more price-sensitive prepaid segment declined in parallel to our expectations. The fixed customer base has continued to grow, exceeding 1.7 million on 74 thousand quarterly net additions; 26 thousand were fiber and 48 thousand were ADSL customers. Annually, we registered 296 thousand net additions to our fixed customer base, of which 140 thousand were fiber and 156 thousand were ADSL customers. IPTV customers reached 323 thousand on 20 thousand quarterly and 153 thousand annual net additions. Mobile TV has been downloaded by 2.3 million users to date. Mobile churn declined to 6.3% (6.9%) year-on-year, while fixed churn was higher at 5.3% (4.4%) in Q316. Mobile blended ARPU rose by 6.9% with our upsell strategy and focus on high value customer groups, as well as increased package penetration. The triple play ratio, which includes customers of voice, data and services combined reached 28%(1) and contributed to the ARPU rise. Excluding the impact of emergency packages, the mobile ARPU increase would have been 8.8%. Fixed residential ARPU rose 5.1% with the increase in multiplay customers with TV2 to 34% of total residential fiber customers, in addition to price increases and upsell efforts. Mobile MoU rose by 10.7% driven by our increased postpaid base and upsell efforts. Smartphones on our network increased by 951 thousand quarterly net additions leading to a smartphone penetration rate of 62%. Accordingly, there were 18.5 million smartphones on our network at quarter end, with 50% being 4.5G enabled.
(1) Breakdown among mobile voice users which excludes subscribers who do
not use their line in the last 3 months TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL
(*) Since July 10, 2015, we hold a 100% stake in lifecell. lifecell revenues grew by 4.7% in local currency terms on almost doubling mobile broadband revenues with the higher data usage through the 3G+ network and increased terminal sales following the launch in June 2016. Through its sales network and online store, lifecell offers its customers a portfolio of terminals bundled with its data packages. lifecell is the first operator in Ukraine to be directly involved in terminal sales. Revenue growth was impacted by the MTR cut in October 2015 on a yearly basis. Eliminating this effect, lifecell would have recorded 10.9% revenue growth. Another MTR cut is announced for January 1, 2017 from UAH0.23/min to UAH0.15/min. lifecell's EBITDA declined by 19.2% in local currency terms with an EBITDA margin of 26.9% (34.9%), due to higher network related costs resulting from the 3G+ roll-out and operational leasing expense post tower related sale and leaseback transactions, plus higher marketing expenses. lifecell's revenues and EBITDA in TRY terms declined 7.8% and 28.7% year-on-year, respectively, impacted by annual devaluation.
(1) We may occasionally offer campaigns and tariff schemes that have an
active subscriber life differing from the one that we normally use to
deactivate subscribers and calculate churn. lifecell has continued its rapid 3G+ network roll-out, offering the largest geographical coverage in Ukraine in terms of number of settlements covered. lifecell's 3G+ adoption momentum continued, reaching 3.1 million three-month active 3G data users. Meanwhile, lifecell has more than doubled data usage per user since the introduction of 3G+ with smartphone penetration of 52.7%, the highest rate in the market lifecell's three-month active subscriber base reached 9.7 million on 62 thousand quarterly net additions. Blended ARPU (3-month active) rose by 16.3% driven by increased mobile broadband usage and smartphone tariffs with higher ARPU. MoU (12-month active) fell by 3.4% due to changing consumer behavior.
(1) Starting from Q116, subscriber figure for BeST includes suspended
subscriptions whose contracts are still in place. All figures presented
in this document for prior periods have been restated to reflect this
change. BeST revenues grew by 11.0% in Q316 in local currency terms with the expansion of the subscriber base along with increased voice and terminal revenues on higher smartphone sales. EBITDA margin improved by 2.5pp to 4.6% (2.1%), mainly driven by top-line growth and better operational expense management. BeST's revenues in TRY terms declined 3.3% year-on-year impacted by annual devaluation, while EBITDA in TRY terms more than doubled. BeST launched 4G services in August with a one month free trial for all customers in partnership with beCloud. From September onwards, a wide range of commercial product portfolios covering packages from 2GB to 50GB have been offered. BeST is committed to offer new mobile services as part of Turkcell's globally relevant services strategy. For now, 4G services are only available in Minsk city centre.
(1) Starting from Q116, subscriber figure for KKTCELL includes M2M
subscriptions as well. All figures presented in this document for prior
periods have been restated to reflect this change. KKTCELL's revenues increased by 2.7% year-on-year to TRY34 million, reflecting mobile broadband growth on the back of higher data demand. EBITDA increased by 7.9% to TRY14 million leading to an EBITDA margin of 40.1% (38.0%). Fintur's consolidated revenues declined by 38.4% year-on-year in Q316. Still high competition in Kazakhstan pressured Kcell revenues. Year-on-year currency devaluation also impacted Kcell and Azercell revenues negatively. Fintur subscribers increased by 319 thousand quarterly net additions in Q316 to 17.0 million, mainly driven by Kcell and Geocell. Fintur had a negative contribution of US$2 million (US$28 million positive contribution) to Group net income in Q316. This was mainly due to weak operational performance, currency devaluation and impairment.
(1) Telia Company disclosed a change to the definition of prepaid mobile
subscription for all countries of operations in its Q115 results
announcement on April 21, 2015. Prepaid subscriptions are counted if the
subscriber has been active during the last three months. In line with
Telia Company's reporting, we disclose Fintur operations' subscriber
numbers as three-month active. Prior periods are restated accordingly. Turkcell Group Subscribers Turkcell Group subscribers amounted to approximately 66.7 million as of September 30, 2016. This figure is calculated by taking the number of subscribers of Turkcell Turkey and each of our subsidiaries and unconsolidated investees. It includes the total number of mobile, fiber, ADSL and IPTV subscribers of Turkcell Turkey, the mobile subscribers of lifecell and BeST, as well as those of KKTCELL, Turkcell Europe and Fintur.
(*) Turkcell Group subscribers figure includes the subscriber figures of
our non-consolidated subsidiaries. OVERVIEW OF THE MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT The foreign exchange rates used in our financial reporting, along with certain macroeconomic indicators, are set out below.
* The official currency of the Republic of Belarus has been redenominated on July 1, 2016. As a result, BYR10,000 has become BYN1 starting from 1 July 2016. Prior periods have been adjusted accordingly for presentation purposes. RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASUREMENTS: We believe Adjusted EBITDA, among other measures, facilitates performance comparisons from period to period and management decision making. It also facilitates performance comparisons from company to company. Adjusted EBITDA as a performance measure eliminates potential differences caused by variations in capital structures (affecting interest expense), tax positions (such as the impact of changes in effective tax rates on periods or companies) and the age and book depreciation of tangible assets (affecting relative depreciation expense). We also present Adjusted EBITDA because we believe it is frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested parties in evaluating the performance of other mobile operators in the telecommunications industry in Europe, many of which present Adjusted EBITDA when reporting their results. Our Adjusted EBITDA definition includes Revenue, Direct Cost of Revenue excluding depreciation and amortization, Selling and Marketing expenses and Administrative expenses, but excludes translation gain/(loss), finance income, share of profit of equity accounted investees, gain on sale of investments, income/(loss) from related parties, minority interest and other income/(expense). Nevertheless, Adjusted EBITDA has limitations as an analytical tool, and you should not consider it in isolation from, or as a substitute for analysis of, our results of operations, as reported under IFRS. The following table provides a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, as calculated using financial data prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB, to net profit, which we believe is the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS as issued by the IASB.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: This release includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This includes, in particular, our targets for revenue, EBITDA and capex in 2016 and our 4.5G development in Turkey and our three year outlook regarding adequacy of funding. More generally, all statements other than statements of historical facts included in this press release, including, without limitation, certain statements regarding our operations, financial position and business strategy may constitute forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as, among others, "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "believe", "continue" and "guidance". Although Turkcell believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these cautionary statements. For a discussion of certain factors that may affect the outcome of such forward looking statements, see our Annual Report on Form 20-F for 2015 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and in particular the risk factor section therein. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. ABOUT TURKCELL: Turkcell is a converged telecommunication and technology services provider, founded and headquartered in Turkey. It serves its customers with voice, data, TV and value-added consumer and enterprise services on mobile and fixed networks. Turkcell launched LTE services in its home country on April 1st, 2016, employing LTE-Advanced and 3 carrier aggregation technologies in 81 cities. In 2G and 3G, Turkcell's population coverage is at 99.75% and 95.26%, respectively, as of September 2016. It offers up to 1 Gbps fiber internet speed with its FTTH services. Turkcell Group companies serve 66.7 million subscribers in 9 countries - Turkey, Ukraine, Belarus, Northern Cyprus, Germany, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Georgia, Moldova - as of September 30, 2016. Turkcell Group reported a TRY3.7 billion revenue in Q316 with total assets of TRY30.2 billion as of September 30, 2016. It has been listed on the NYSE and the BIST since July 2000, and is the only NYSE-listed company in Turkey. Read more at www.turkcell.com.tr This press release can also be viewed using the Turkcell Investor Relation app, which can be downloaded here for iOS, and here for Android mobile devices. Appendix A - Tables Table: Translation gain and loss details
Table: Income tax expense details
Table: Reconciliation of proforma net income to net income per IFRS Group net income:
Turkcell Turkey net income:
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