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Emerson College Poll: Clinton Now Leads in Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina. Trump Favorability DropsBOSTON, Oct. 14, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Three Emerson College polls released today show Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina. These states represent a total of 46 electoral votes or 17% of the 270 needed to win the presidency. In an earlier round of Emerson polls, Clinton was only winning the 13 electoral votes in Virginia. Logo - http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20161013/428614LOGO All three polls published today were conducted after the second presidential debate and the release of a "hot mic" recording that captured Trump making lewd comments and recounting how he made uninvited sexual advances toward women. The polls were conducted from October 10-12 and have a margin of error of +/-3.9 percentage points. Figure 1: Presidential Ballot Test
In the U.S. Senate race in Ohio, incumbent Rob Portman has a commanding 17-point lead over former Governor Ted Strickland. In North Carolina, Democrat Deborah Ross has closed the gap between her and the GOP incumbent Richard Burr. Burr leads by 2 points (45% to 43%) compared to the 45% to 41% advantage he held in Emerson's late-August poll. In all three states, Clinton has edged up 2 or 3 points since a round of Emerson polls in late August and early September. She now holds a 2-point advantage over Trump (45% to 43%) in Ohio. She has a 3-point lead over him in Virginia (46% to 43%) and is up 4 points in North Carolina (46% to 42%). Figure 2: Independents
Although Trump continues to lead with Independents in all three states, Clinton has gained ground since the last round of Emerson polls. In Ohio, she is up 5 points (from 30% to 35%) while Trump is down 5 (from 47% to 42%). In Virginia, Independents' support for Clinton has increased from 35% to 40% while support for Trump has declined by 3 points, from 48% to 45%. In North Carolina, Clinton has gained 4 points, from 34% to 38% as Trump has held steady at 45%. Except for Ohio, where Clinton now has a neutral favorability/unfavorability ratio of 50% to 50%, both candidates are under water with voters. However, Clinton is viewed more favorably than Trump in all three states, and his numbers have dropped in all three: going from –16 to –28 in Ohio, from –19 to –25 in Virginia and from –18 to –24 in North Carolina. CALLER ID Media Contact: To view the original version on PR Newswire, visit:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/emerson-college-poll-clinton-now-leads-in-ohio-virginia-and-north-carolina-trump-favorability-drops-300344890.html SOURCE Emerson College Polling Society |