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IE Market Research Corporation: Bangladesh will have 63.2 million wireless subscribers in 2013 with GrameenPhone's market share declining to 36.6%, according to new market research report by IEMR
Vancouver, Nov 20, 2009 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) --
IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 4Q09 Bangladesh Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013.
"We forecast that total wireless subscribers in Bangladesh will increase from 47.9 million in 2008 to 63.2 million in 2013. At the operator level, we expect that GrameenPhone will maintain its leading position in Bangladesh's wireless market over the next five years with 23.2 million mobile subscribers in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "Banglalink, TM International, and Warid will remain in second, third, and fourth place respectively. Our model predicts that Banglalink will have 15.7 million, TM International will have 11.6 million, and Warid will have 7.4 million mobile subscribers respectively by the end of 2013."
"Given the latest quarter numbers, we forecast that the industry average monthly ARPU will increase from USD 3.54 to USD 4.77 over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013. Our model predicts that Banglalink's monthly ARPU will increase from USD 2.99 in 2008 to USD 3.70 in 2013, and GrameenPhone's monthly ARPU will increase from USD 3.81 in 2008 to USD 5.48 in 2013," said Mr. Assanie.
IEMR's Bangladesh Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Bangladesh - Banglalink/Sheba (Orascom Telecom Holding S.A.E), GrameenPhone (Telenor ASA), TM Int'l (Telekom Malaysia Berhad), PBTL (Singapore Telecommunications Ltd), Warid Telecom International, and BTTB (Bangladesh Telegraph and Telephone Board). Notable highlights of the 4Q09 Bangladesh Mobile Operator Forecast include:
* Our model predicts that GrameenPhone's subscriber market share will decline from 43.8% in 2008 to 36.6% in 2013. On the other hand, we expect that Banglalink's market share will be increasing from 21.6% in 2008 to 24.8% in 2013. We forecast that TM International will have 18.4% of total subscribers and Warid will have 11.7% of total subscribers by the end of 2013.
* Our model forecasts that EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will be 37.2% in 2Q.2009, up from 4.8% in 2Q.2008. On the other hand, we expect that GrameenPhone's EBITDA margin will be higher at approximately 40.9% in 2013.
IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1316&flag=1
Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
Banglalink/Sheba (Orascom Telecom Holding S.A.E)
GrameenPhone (Telenor ASA)
TM Int'l (Telekom Malaysia Berhad)
PBTL (Singapore Telecommunications Ltd)
Warid Telecom International (For Warid, only the subscriber data is available.)
BTTB (Bangladesh Telegraph and Telephone Board)
Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011
PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR **
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR ***
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) ***
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR *
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR *
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) *
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR ***
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ***
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR ***
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ***
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) ***
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) ***
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) ***
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ***
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR ***
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) *
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) ***
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) ***
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) ***
* Not available for this country forecast
** Available only for Bangalink/Sheba
*** Available only for Bangalink/Sheba and GrameenPhone
CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research
Tel: +1 604 327 4367
e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com
WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com
((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.
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