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| [October 23, 2008] |
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EBITDA Margins Remain Low in Hong Kong's Mobile Operator Space, According to This New Mobile Operator Market Research Report
DUBLIN, Ireland --(Business Wire)-- Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/54f1a1/4q_2008_hong_kong) has announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "4Q 2008 Hong Kong Mobile Operator Forecast, 2008 - 2010" to their offering.
"The 4Q08 Mobile Operator Forecasts demonstrate IEMR's capability to gather information from a variety of global resources and model it into accurate and timely forecasts for our clients," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President of Research at IEMR. "Clients will find the information easily accessible, comprehensive, and exceptionally relevant to enable them to make sound business and investment decisions about mobile operators and vendors strategies."
IEMR's Hong Kong Mobile Operator Forecast covers up to 65 financial and operational metrics on six wireless operators. Notable highlights of the 4Q08 Hong Kong Mobile Operator Forecast include:
- We are forecasting that the wireless penetration level in Hong Kong will be 131.4% in 2010.
- Market shares (by subscribers) of major operators in Hong Kong will remain fairly stable during the forecast period. In 2010, our model is forecasting market shares of 30.6%, 26.4%, 12.9% and 11.8% for CSL/New World, Hutchison, SmarTone, and Sunday respectively.
- In 2010, EBITDA margins in Hong Kong will continue to be some of the lowest in East Asia. In our view, although CSL/New World will continue to have the largest subscriber base, its competitors such as Hutchison, Sunday and SmarTone will provide increased competition that should see Hong Kong operators EBITDA margins slide over the forecast period.
- The average ARPU in Hong Kong will continue increasing to reach US$ 22.19 per month in 2010. Among the operators, we expect SmarTone will register the highest ARPU at US$ 35.13 per month in 2010.
IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers up to 65 operational metrics of 213 mobile operators in 50+ countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
Hutchison
SmarTone
Sunday
CSL/New World (Only "Number of subscribers", "Subscriber growth", "Net subscriber adds", "YoY growth", "Share of total subscribers", and "Share of net adds" are available for this operator.)
People (Only "Number of subscribers", "Subscriber growth", and "Service revenue", "Service revenue growth" are available for this operator.)
Charts 1-68 Results & Forecasts for: CY04-CY10
Chart 1: PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
Chart 2: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
Chart 3: SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 4: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 5: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 6: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 7: MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR
Chart 8: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 9: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 10: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 11: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 12: POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 13: PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 14: POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 15: POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 16: PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 17: PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 18: GROSS ADDITIONS BY OPERATOR
Chart 19: GROSS ADDITIONS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 20: MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR --
Chart 21: MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) --
Chart 22: DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR -
Chart 23: MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR -
Chart 24: DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
Chart 25: MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR --
Chart 26: VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) --
Chart 27: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR -
Chart 28: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
Chart 29: MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) -
Chart 30: MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) -
Chart 31: AGGREGATE MOU BY OPERATOR -
Chart 32: AGGREGATE MOU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) -
Chart 33: SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 34: HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
Chart 35: SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 36: SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 37: SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 38: SHARE OF GROSS ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 39: SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 40: HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
Chart 41: YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 42: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) --
Chart 43: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) --
Chart 44: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) --
Chart 45: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) --
Chart 46: SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) --
Chart 47: EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) --
Chart 48: EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 49: EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 50: EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 51: CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 52: CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 53: (EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
Chart 54: EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR --
Chart 55: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) --
Chart 56: ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) --
Chart 57: DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) -
Chart 58: VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) -
Chart 59: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD) --
Chart 60: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) --
Chart 61: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) --
Chart 62: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (EUR) --
Chart 63: ARPU BY OPERATOR (EUR) --
Chart 64: DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (EUR) -
Chart 65: VOICE REVENUE/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (EUR) -
Chart 66: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (EUR) --
Chart 67: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (EUR) --
Chart 68: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (EUR) --
Charts 69-136 Quarterly Results for: Mar 05 - Mar 08
Chart 69: PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
Chart 70: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
Chart 71: SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 72: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 73: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 74: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 75: MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR
Chart 76: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 77: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ---
Chart 78: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 79: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 80: POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 81: PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 82: POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 83: POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ---
Chart 84: PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 85: PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 86: GROSS ADDITIONS BY OPERATOR
Chart 87: GROSS ADDITIONS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 88: MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
Chart 89: MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
Chart 90: DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR ----
Chart 91: MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR ----
Chart 92: DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) ----
Chart 93: MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR
Chart 94: VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 95: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR -----
Chart 96: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -----
Chart 97: MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) -----
Chart 98: MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) -----
Chart 99: AGGREGATE MOU BY OPERATOR -----
Chart 100: AGGREGATE MOU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) -----
Chart 101: SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 102: HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
Chart 103: SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 104: SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 105: SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR ---
Chart 106: SHARE OF GROSS ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 107: SHARE SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 108: HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
Chart 109: YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
Chart 110: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 111: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 112: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 113: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 114: SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 115: EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 116: EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 117: EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 118: EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 119: CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 120: CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 121: (EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 122: EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR
Chart 123: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
Chart 124: ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
Chart 125: DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) ----
Chart 126: VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) -----
Chart 127: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
Chart 128: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD)
Chart 129: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD)
Chart 130: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (EUR)
Chart 131: ARPU BY OPERATOR (EUR)
Chart 132: DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (EUR) ----
Chart 133: VOICE REVENUE/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (EUR) -----
Chart 134: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (EUR)
Chart 135: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (EUR)
Chart 136: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (EUR)
- Not available (or most of the data points are missing) for this Hong Kong Mobile Forecast
-- Available only for SmarTone and Sunday
--- Available only for Hutchison and Sunday
---- Available only for SmarTone
----- Available only for Hutchison
For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/54f1a1/4q_2008_hong_kong
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