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October 09, 2020

What Makes a Good Predictive Model?



Can humans predict future outcomes? Well, it's the 21st century, so maybe we can. That's certainly the case with predictive modeling, a meticulous process that uses artificial intelligence, mathematics and analytic thinking to predict future outcomes. This method is commercially used to predict corporate earnings, sports outcomes, and even TV ratings. In the technological sense (concerning data mining), predictive modeling uses data analytics and statistics to foretell possible outcomes and specific data models.



If this doesn't sound straightforward, that's because it's not. More so, there's no blanket formula for predicting, and it isn't a foolproof method. That being said, if you're keen to find out what makes the best predictive model, keep reading for more information.

Data Knows Best

These days, it's unwise to make decisions without using different predictive models to test out the type of big data you're working with. Anyone with the technological and financial resources can take advantage of predictive modeling. You may be inclined to just trust your instincts, but that's not a good course of action.

The world has become too competitive to depend on traditional methods. Predictive modeling gives accurate answers to important questions and challenges. It even analyzes future outcomes while gaining an upper hand in your niche. With that in mind, let's take a look at what makes an excellent predictive model

Efficient Data Collating

Regardless of all the benefits of data prediction, collecting and labeling extensive data is the challenge, especially when using machine learning. Predictive modeling may not provide any valuable data if there are errors or overrides.

If you want to track exciting developments or stay ahead by foretelling specific data outcomes, then the prediction has to be accurate. Smart firms make decisions based on predicted insights, and if a business is going to identify new insights and avoid any challenges or oversights, accurate predictive analytics are required.

The goods news is that sites like TIBCO provide industry, business and technological solutions via a highly-reliable intelligence platform that harmonizes data for enhanced access and control. With technologically advanced data analytics, they can predict accurate outcomes in real-time.

Rather than depend on inaccurate predictive models, it's better to rely on tech companies like TIBCO. They have plenty of experience in collating and analyzing data, as well as a platform that uses data-driven intelligence to improve everyday decision-making.

Correct Data Analysis

People trust brands and businesses with integrity, so many companies hire data scientists who can deliver winning formulas. It shouldn't be too hard in this day and age, but it can be with the wrong information. When data is not analyzed correctly, we make the wrong decisions based on inaccurate predictions. This is where predictive modeling comes in.

There's no doubt that predictive data analytics is the future of business. It's even been described as the "priceless gift of future vision." However, every organization using such advanced business processes should have tested models that deliver reliable and well-analyzed data that won't just change but impact how business users, whether small businesses or giant corporations make profit-led decisions. That's why reliable predictive modeling must test past data models and compare them to present ones in order to produce the best outcome and help business users to make better decisions.

Accurate Data Validation

You have to consider certain things when selecting an assessment solution. One of the most important things to consider is how the model reports data. There should be statistics that accurately prove data outcomes. What the model reports and the actual outcome are either the same or similar. This result should be accountable for all data points and data sources and should show that the data can indeed be validated.

Using Multiple Data Sets

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KXME_y-3QA&feature=youtu.be

When evaluating data, a good predictive model should tick all the above boxes. If you want predictive analytics to help your business in any way, the data should be accurate, reliable, and predictable across multiple data sets. That means you must be able to compare the results to established statistics based on the actionable insights delivered. More so, the raw data should be measurable for easy collation and categorization. Lastly, they should be reproducible, even when the process is applied to similar data sets.



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